zitothebrave
04-21-2015, 09:07 AM
Just figured I'd take a look at stats so far this year. Most everyone is 12 or 13 games in.
I'll look at 3 different players, one for offense, one for defense, and one for pitching and analyse the flaws in small sample statistics.
First up is one of the best hitters in baseball right now, Stephen Vogt. You may be asking yourself, who is Stephen Vogt, and you'd be right to ask that question. He's a 30 year old second year player. he's posting a .415 iso, way way way higher than he's ever posted at any level in the majors or minors. He also is sporting a .367 BABIP, much higher than you'd expect from a slow lefty. And maybe my favorite part of his stat line. In his 2 previous seasons he had about an 8% HR/FB, so far this year he's at 30.8.
Second is Shane Greene. Looking through his numbers, there's not a thing that isn't lucky about him. Through his 3 starts he's compiled 23 innings with a 0.39 ERA. You may be loving those numbers til you look a little deeper. .188 BABIP is too low for a pitcher who's ground ball heavy. He has walked a mere 1.96 per nine which is great. But he would counter that with a 4.30 K/9. Making his FIP 2.72, and he has not allowed a homerun yet, which makes his xFIP 4.01. So still very good performance, but his ERA is the product of luck and sampling.
Lastly we look at DRS. UZR hasn't put any stats up because they don't even bother with this small of a sample. Anyway my example is the former Brave he who should not be named. From 2010-2014 he accumulated the highest total DRS of any player in baseball. He's sitting at 0 so far this year. Which as we all know whether you're a fan of Him, or not. He is an allworld defender, certainly not worse than guys like Ryan Braun and Jose Bautista. Not that those guys are bad players, they're just not Him.
I'll look at 3 different players, one for offense, one for defense, and one for pitching and analyse the flaws in small sample statistics.
First up is one of the best hitters in baseball right now, Stephen Vogt. You may be asking yourself, who is Stephen Vogt, and you'd be right to ask that question. He's a 30 year old second year player. he's posting a .415 iso, way way way higher than he's ever posted at any level in the majors or minors. He also is sporting a .367 BABIP, much higher than you'd expect from a slow lefty. And maybe my favorite part of his stat line. In his 2 previous seasons he had about an 8% HR/FB, so far this year he's at 30.8.
Second is Shane Greene. Looking through his numbers, there's not a thing that isn't lucky about him. Through his 3 starts he's compiled 23 innings with a 0.39 ERA. You may be loving those numbers til you look a little deeper. .188 BABIP is too low for a pitcher who's ground ball heavy. He has walked a mere 1.96 per nine which is great. But he would counter that with a 4.30 K/9. Making his FIP 2.72, and he has not allowed a homerun yet, which makes his xFIP 4.01. So still very good performance, but his ERA is the product of luck and sampling.
Lastly we look at DRS. UZR hasn't put any stats up because they don't even bother with this small of a sample. Anyway my example is the former Brave he who should not be named. From 2010-2014 he accumulated the highest total DRS of any player in baseball. He's sitting at 0 so far this year. Which as we all know whether you're a fan of Him, or not. He is an allworld defender, certainly not worse than guys like Ryan Braun and Jose Bautista. Not that those guys are bad players, they're just not Him.