Baseball America Braves Prospects

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01-31-2016, 02:37 PM
praeceps93

Baseball America Braves Prospects

Saw a post on another Braves forum talking about the BA Prospect Handbook. Here is the list of Braves prospects, with their FV/risk:

1. Dansby Swanson, 65/high

2. Sean Newcomb, 60/medium

3. Aaron Blair, 55/medium

4. Hector Olivera, 60/high

5. Kolby Allard, 60/extreme

6. Ozzie Albies, 55/high

7. Touki Toussaint, 60/extreme

8. Austin Riley, 60/extreme

9. Max Fried, 55/extreme

10. Mallex Smith, 50/medium

11. Mike Soroka, 55/extreme

12. Braxton Davidson, 50/high

13. Lucas Sims, 50/high

14. Manny Banuelos, 45/medium

15. Chris Ellis, 50/high

16. Tyrell Jenkins, 45/medium

17. Ricardo Sanchez, 55/extreme

18. John Gant, 50/high

19. Rio Ruiz, 50/high

20. Lucas Herbert, 55/extreme

21. Zack Bird, 50/high

22. Dustin Peterson, 50/high

23. Jason Hursh, 45/high

24. Shae Simmons, 45/high

25. Brady Feigl, 45/high

26. Dan Winkler, 50/extreme

27. Johan Camargo, 45/high

28. Ronald Acuna, 50/extreme

29. Mauricio Cabrera, 50/extreme

30. Andrew Thurman, 45/high

31. Rob Whalen, 45/high

32. Steve Janas, 45/high

33. Daniel Castro, 40/low

They rank the Braves 3rd as an organization, behind the Dodgers and Astros. I don't have the book myself yet, but the rankings are interesting.
01-31-2016, 02:46 PM
mqt

Interesting that they have Swanson as high risk and high FV. I suppose it makes sense that he's high risk as a 65 FV, but I think in terms of risk overall he's pretty low.

I also find it interesting that they're willing to rank players like Riley and Ricardo Sanchez with the FVs they're at, but Acuna is only listed as 50 FV.
01-31-2016, 04:23 PM
clvclv

Quote:

Originally Posted by mqt

Interesting that they have Swanson as high risk and high FV. I suppose it makes sense that he's high risk as a 65 FV, but I think in terms of risk overall he's pretty low.

I also find it interesting that they're willing to rank players like Riley and Ricardo Sanchez with the FVs they're at, but Acuna is only listed as 50 FV.

Tough to tell without the context of the comments. 65 FV is a perennial All-Star - I'd venture to guess that anyone with that number comes with at least "High" attached.

Love to see Mallex with Medium attached to his 50 - a 2 WAR regular playing CF and leading off with his speed would be great. Newcomb and Blair also with Mediums as #2 and $2/#3 SPs.

That "bright future" really isn't that far away.
01-31-2016, 06:33 PM
Eyeman

Sims IMO is getting under ranked so far this year. I guess he was not good enough for too long, but his stats after his move up seem to me to show that he was working on things, got moved up and got serious. I'd put him at #6 after I moved Olivera down to #11, behind Soroka but ahead of Mallex now at #12.
01-31-2016, 06:37 PM
chop2chip

That list is insane. There are 25 prospects that grade out at at least 50 FV. I have never seen a system that deep before.
01-31-2016, 07:43 PM
skillet

Quote:

Originally Posted by chop2chip

That list is insane. There are 25 prospects that grade out at at least 50 FV. I have never seen a system that deep before.

Yep, and a dozen ranked 55 or higher. That is really strong.
01-31-2016, 08:27 PM
cajunrevenge

If there is any stat I dislike more than WAR its the FV and risk system they use for this. This **** is why I dont read Baseball Prospectus anymore.
01-31-2016, 09:39 PM
chop2chip

Quote:

Originally Posted by cajunrevenge

If there is any stat I dislike more than WAR its the FV and risk system they use for this. This **** is why I dont read Baseball Prospectus anymore.

This is a Baseball America list.

While technically a "stat", it isn't a statistic in the way WAR is a statistic. It's qualitative in nature and about as scout-head as you can possibly be.
01-31-2016, 09:40 PM
Hudson2

Quote:

Originally Posted by chop2chip

That list is insane. There are 25 prospects that grade out at at least 50 FV. I have never seen a system that deep before.

That's crazy. I've never seen it either. Just think after the draft and international signings to.
02-01-2016, 05:34 AM
mqt

Quote:

Originally Posted by chop2chip

That list is insane. There are 25 prospects that grade out at at least 50 FV. I have never seen a system that deep before.

I'd have to double check, but I'd imagine the Cubs went deeper last year with more elite talent as well.
02-01-2016, 11:08 AM
UNCBlue012

Quote:

Originally Posted by mqt

I'd have to double check, but I'd imagine the Cubs went deeper last year with more elite talent as well.

This is where adding someone like Maitan would be huge.