Well, 13 of those are vs Phi and 9 vs Wsh.
I don't think either of them are under .500 type teams.
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Still, we're 10 up on Wsh. with 9 left. And what, 11.5 up on Philly with 13 left. No way in hell we should lose the lead.
Washington is -27 run differential and is actually outperforming it by 2 wins.
Philadelphia is -74 run differential and is outperforming it by 5 wins. Philly's run differential is the second worse in the league next to Miami.
These are bad teams, and it's very rare for a team to come back 10 down that starts out with A) a losing record, and B) a negative run differential.
That being said, it still ain't over.
We were 8-10 against them last year. 10-8, and we would have won the division. We just couldn't get it done head-to-head.
They were a little lucky last year but they were really good last year and clearly the best team in the division. Lucky in some games, yes but every team has some lucky games throughout the year.
I still think they have a better all around team but aren't playing like it. They definitely had a better team last year.
The Nats were very strong last year, but pretty much everything went right that needed to go right. They weren't so much lucky in terms of wins, as they didn't really have any significant injuries that set them back, and a couple guys had career or near-career years offensively. Only setback was self-imposed when they shut Strasburg down.
Washington has Strasburg, Gio, and Zimmermann lined up to pitch against us coming up too. I like our chances. We seem to hit Stras well, along with Gio. Zimmermann is kinda fading.
If they sweep us coming up, so be it...they basically have to, to stay in the hunt.
We're also lined up to throw Minor and Teheran in that series, so we shouldn't set our sights low.
And we've been hurt with injuries just as much as Philly.