Originally Posted by
Enscheff
Camargo's xwOBA values the last 3 years have been:
2017 0.299
2018 0.310
2019 0.257
Those are not the marks of a .750+ OPS hitter. Those are the marks of a below average hitter (average being ~.320 xwOBA)...who was getting lucky.
Here are Camargo's xwOBA values vs LHP:
2017 0.372
2018 0.333
2019 0.250 (42 PAs)
Those are the marks of a guy who should be a .750-.800 OPS hitter vs LHP given enough PAs. He should be getting more PAs vs LHP right now, and it's unfortunate Snit allowed some early success by Markakis to derail an otherwise solid player deployment strategy.
And against RHP:
2017 0.269
2018 0.301
2019 0.261
Camargo is not a true talent .750+ hitter unless his PAs against RHP are severely limited. Considering there are about 2x as many PAs vs RHP and LHP, being good on the short side of a platoon limits Camargo's overall value.
I get it, folks think Camargo is great and simply needs more PAs because they saw a few hundred lucky PAs from him, and they like watching him throw lasers across the infield. Fact of the matter is the type of predictive data used by modern FOs tells us pretty conclusively he is not good enough to be an everyday player long term. I've been saying it for a long time now, and it's proving to be 100% accurate.
Camargo is a utility player who needs to be used mostly against LHP. Nothing more.