@DOBrienATL
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3m
#Braves' Teheran has allowed one or fewer earned runs in 15 starts this season, second only to Dodgers' Hyun-Jin Ryu (16) among traditional (non-opener) MLB starting pitchers.
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@DOBrienATL
·
3m
#Braves' Teheran has allowed one or fewer earned runs in 15 starts this season, second only to Dodgers' Hyun-Jin Ryu (16) among traditional (non-opener) MLB starting pitchers.
Take another page off of the calendar...
One thing is for certain. If we face the fish in the playoffs this year, JT has to be game one starter.
Trevor Cahill is an interesting comp. He had a 2 WAR season in 2018 after several seasons of essentially zero war. Teheran will probably end up a little over 2 WAR this year and has a better track and health record. Cahill got a 1 year deal at 9M. So Julion will likely do a bit better on a one-year deal. With a multi-year deal the AAV would drop. But with guys like Anderson coming through the pipeline I think we will not be interested in a multi-year deal for a pitcher of this caliber.
Julion's 12M option might be a little high. But the attraction lies in the fact that it is a one-year deal.
Got this from the comments section from a recent article about Julio on fangraphs. But since 1945 Julio has the 8th best FIP-ERA for pitchers with at least 1000 innings. I think it's pretty clear that FIP and fWAR don't truly represent the value that Julio brings to the team when he can consistently out perform his peripherals. 12 million is a no-brainer.
Looking way ahead, i think the top 4 next year is Julio, Folty, Soroka, Max, and 5th could be a number of options. FA, i dont think we re-sign Keuchel. I think we use most of our FA dollars on the offense. Catcher, 3rd base, and OF most important needs.
Do clocks matter that much with pitchers? At some point they pop. Id rather get andersons innings next year on a team where it matters.