Braves Sign Adeiny Hechavarría; Camargo and Duvall Optioned; Bryse Wilson Recalled

Printable View

Show 40 post(s) from this thread on one page

08-17-2019, 11:10 AM
DirkPiggler

Quote:

Originally Posted by nsacpi

doesn't have to be anything fancy...for example

Drew Waters: very unlikely he can sustain the .400 plus BABIP he has put up in AA and AAA. Good chance he will be a high BABIP hitter in the majors which means .330-.340. It is unlikely he would improve on his walk and strikeout rates if promoted to the majors this year. So we are talking about a 5% BB rate and a +30% K rate. Unlike Riley, Waters has not shown much power in the minors this year. It would be unrealistic to project a power surge if he was promoted to the majors this year.

Compare those to what we can expect from Ortega, LaMarre, Duvall, etc. I assume that the minimum expectation for Pache and Waters would be similar. If the expected production is nearly the same, it would make sense to go with the player with the most upside. Factor in defense with Pache, and the fact that the roster as constructed doesn’t have a true CF, and the decision tilts even more in favor of going young.Service time shouldn’t be a consideration for a team with a legitimate chance at a decent playoff run.
08-17-2019, 11:28 AM
nsacpi

Quote:

Originally Posted by DirkPiggler

Compare those to what we can expect from Ortega, LaMarre, Duvall, etc. I assume that the minimum expectation for Pache and Waters would be similar. If the expected production is nearly the same, it would make sense to go with the player with the most upside. Factor in defense with Pache, and the fact that the roster as constructed doesn’t have a true CF, and the decision tilts even more in favor of going young.Service time shouldn’t be a consideration for a team with a legitimate chance at a decent playoff run.

With the others I would apply a 10-15% haircut to their AAA numbers. The results are far from favoring Pache and Waters, even when accounting for defense.
08-17-2019, 11:33 AM
nsacpi

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slippyjms

I’d go for giving the kids a chance and re-evaluate when and if we get Markakis and Ender back. I’d like to know if at least one of them can play a productive CF for us this year though in the event we don’t get Ender back.

You're gonna make this determination on what kind of sample size?
08-17-2019, 11:53 AM
Slippyjms

Quote:

Originally Posted by nsacpi

You're gonna make this determination on what kind of sample size?

The maximum MLB sample size we can. It’s not a long term judgement as none of this is ideal but worst case we can always change course at the end of the season if needed.
08-17-2019, 12:19 PM
Tapate50

Quote:

Originally Posted by nsacpi

I'd be interested to see someone take a stab at analyzing what combination might work best.

key words: analyzing, analysis

That’s what I pay such high membership dues here for...
08-17-2019, 12:26 PM
Freshmaker

Duvy is back!
08-17-2019, 12:38 PM
nsacpi

Quote:

Originally Posted by Freshmaker

Duvy is back!

another hot streak sure to follow...Duvy Duvy Doo has always been streaky
08-17-2019, 02:37 PM
Jaw

I would rather see Hamilton signed than anyone else brought up from the minors. I've never liked the idea of Acuna being the only CF option on the roster. I wouldn't expect much from Hamilton, but he can play CF and pinch run and we certainly don't need to start Pache's clock and stunt his development.
08-17-2019, 03:14 PM
JohnAdcox

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaw

I would rather see Hamilton signed than anyone else brought up from the minors. I've never liked the idea of Acuna being the only CF option on the roster. I wouldn't expect much from Hamilton, but he can play CF and pinch run and we certainly don't need to start Pache's clock and stunt his development.

There's always Lane Adams... ;-)
08-17-2019, 03:19 PM
jpx7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaw

I would rather see Hamilton signed than anyone else brought up from the minors. I've never liked the idea of Acuna being the only CF option on the roster. I wouldn't expect much from Hamilton, but he can play CF and pinch run and we certainly don't need to start Pache's clock and stunt his development.

Hamilton is...not good. Having said that, I agree with the entirety of your post: it’d be nice to have a viable CF backup for Young Yunior, and it’d be nice to not throw Pache to the MLB fire (and fire up his clock). And there might be some gravy in the form of pinch-running.
08-17-2019, 03:24 PM
nsacpi

We had a long stretch of very good baseball without a "viable" second center fielder earlier this season. Only one is needed. Hamilton would take up a bench spot and contribute little to nothing.
08-17-2019, 03:25 PM
nsacpi

I would bring up Alex Jackson for the last bench spot so we can use McCann more to pinch hit when he isnt catching.
08-17-2019, 03:26 PM
jpx7

Quote:

Originally Posted by nsacpi

We had a long stretch of very good baseball without a "viable" second center fielder earlier this season. Only one is needed. Hamilton would take up a bench spot and contribute little to nothing.

An OF who can hit would be preferable. I just don’t see any.
08-17-2019, 03:34 PM
Freshmaker

Oof. A bit better than expected, but out most of the rest of the season
08-17-2019, 03:38 PM
nsacpi

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpx7

An OF who can hit would be preferable. I just don’t see any.

I'll settle for the ones who can hit better than Hamilton.
08-17-2019, 03:42 PM
salmagundy

Duvall back in Atl and hitting 5th in Sat game vs Dodgers playing LF. Culberson in RF
08-17-2019, 03:55 PM
jpx7

Quote:

Originally Posted by salmagundy

Duvall back in Atl and hitting 5th in Sat game vs Dodgers playing LF. Culberson in RF

Looks like [MENTION=89]nsacpi[/MENTION] got his Reverse Splits answer (and it isn’t the correct one).
08-17-2019, 03:58 PM
jpx7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Freshmaker

Oof. A bit better than expected, but out most of the rest of the season

Really hoping Swanson is back by the end of this month, and that Markakis and Inciarte can make the postseason roster (preferably with at least a week in September to round back into form).
08-17-2019, 04:03 PM
nsacpi

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpx7

Really hoping Swanson is back by the end of this month, and that Markakis and Inciarte can make the postseason roster (preferably with at least a week in September to round back into form).

That's going to be key...whether they can get in 5 or 6 games at the end of the season.
08-17-2019, 04:04 PM
bravesfanMatt

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpx7

Looks like [MENTION=89]nsacpi[/MENTION] got his Reverse Splits answer (and it isn’t the correct one).

Twit can’t find a land line to plug his modem up so he can’t research really good.

Show 40 post(s) from this thread on one page