Originally Posted by
clvclv
It's not so much the money for a Grandal signing (for me) is as big an issue as what it locks you into. I want no part of a Harper/Machado level signing, and I think most of the numbers-inclined crowd would agree with that. From a fan standpoint, I'd love it, but it's just not that good an idea. Maybe Contreras never turns into what I think he's got a chance to be, and that's fine. If he's anywhere close, you make a QO to Realmuto in two years - if he accepts make him an OF for a year, if he passes take the high pick and be happy.
Realmuto just fits our timeline better than anyone else out there. I'd just as soon not pay Grandal ~ $20 million per to be a part-time guy for two years if Contreras is what I think he is. I'd also just as soon not tie up the money it's going to take (especially if you have to build player options into the deal) to play on the Harper/Machado level and then have to try to figure out what to do with Riley/Camargo/Ender/Pache/Waters - if you sign one of those guys, there's a legitimate chance you have to give someone away since you won't have room for everybody.
As unfortunate as some feel that scenario is, AA's going to have to rely on our scouts' "eye-test" at some point, and at this point there's little reason to expect that moving Johan to the OF, handing 3B to Riley, and adding Realmuto for the next two years isn't a better idea to make us a legitimate contender than tying up $100+ million in any free-agent that's available IMO.