Pretty sure I have to keep my metrics consistent. If I have to pick one to evaluate likely future performance I am going to go with fWAR over bWAR.
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Carrasco signs extension with the Indians
LOL, if I think 3 is a reasonable projection, why in the world would I take the over?
Everything in your post suggests you think he will struggle to reach 2.
Over/under of 1.5, you name the stakes. Anything higher than that means we don't disagree enough to be worth betting over.
I like Peralta to beat his WAR projection (2.8, 3.8 last year) next year as it seems he made some sort of adjustment to increase his power (launch angle perhaps?) and Zack instantly becomes our #1 starter. That's a win/win if you ask me. We fill our empty OF spot with a 30 homer guy who should beat 3 WAR next year and get a aging starter on a bad contract who still is quite good (3-4 WAR). That said, I'm not really advocating for this deal to happen.
I clarified my statement to say that our rotation is a liability compared to other playoff teams, which is far from incorrect. Maybe you see a bunch of "not that far from league average" starters leading us to a ring, but I don't... at least not this year or in the next 2-3.
They certainly can't beat our best offer if AA elects to pay it
The Braves should trade 5+ years of playoff baseball to make one huge push the next 1-2 seasons.
Seems like a great idea!
It’s pretty comical seeing folks suggest trading for Greinke act as if the prospects required to make the DBacks keep the ~$60M required for the Braves to afford him are any different than the prospects required for a guy like Bauer or Kluber.
A trade for Peralta and Greinke plus enough cash to make the Braves payroll work will require ~$70M in prospect capital....and the Braves are still paying the duo $20M in 2019.
There has to be better value out there.