Brewers in talks with Kimbrel.
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Brewers in talks with Kimbrel.
If they get Kimbrel they may be the favorites in the NL.
Astros signing Bregman for 6 years, 100 mil, covers this year, and 2 FA years.
With younger players, you lean on their minor league track record and pedigree. Minor league data btw are almost as useful as major league data for making projections once you properly adjust for level of play and age of the player relative to level. There is a reason for example that people had such high expectations for Acuna before he even had a single major league AB. Of course, projections sometimes are wrong. But the ones based on minor league data are not bad.
So maybe there is a little bit more uncertainty about Fried than about Gio. But that is not the same as Gio projecting to be the better pitcher in 2019.
In 2018 Fried put up a FIP of 3.56 in AAA in 66 innings and a FIP of 3.67 in the majors in 34 innings.
Combine that with the strong spring he is having and I would say I like the under on the 3.80 FIP projection that Steamer has for him.
I'm not big on spring training stats, but I do keep an eye on them and the strikeout to walk numbers of our starters this spring (except for Newk) are encouraging.
Teheran 1 BB 16K
Fried 5 and 16
Wright 2 and 16
Touki 2 and 17
Wilson 2 and 13
Newk 10 and 7