He walked 5.82 per 9 as a starter last season. Flat fastball. Long history of not being able to stay healthy.
His poor control is consistent with his minor league history as he's never in his life had an extended sample with a BB rate under 4.
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The walks are not good but not the whole story. FIP looks at the rest of the story. I think there is a similar risk with Fried as with Newk that his control does not improve. I'd still take either over Gio this season. Both were better than Gio last year (as measured by FIP) and given the ages I like both Fried and Newk over Gio this year. I also like Wright, Wilson and Touki over Gio this year (as measured by FIP). If anyone wants to do a bet (based on FIP in the majors) where they take Gio over any of these guys I'm game.
Not sure where to land on Newk, Fried, and Touki just yet, but I'm getting the feeling that Wright has sensed his opportunity and doesn't plan to let it loose - assuming AA and Snitker make the obvious choice and put him in the mix now, I'm not sure he comes out of the rotation unless he's traded (even if/when Folty and Gausman are ready).
Newk on the mound today vs Jays
Strange lineup
Swanson
Camargo(LF)
Acuna(CF)
McCann
Culberson(2B)
Pache(RF)
Wilkins(!B)
Floriman(3B)
Newk
Wait...are folks who think Gio is better than Fried basing this on command? Perhaps some folks need to look up Gio’s command stats?
Fried’s problem is going to be the flat FA. If he has addressed that by either getting a higher spin rate (unlikely), or switching to a SI in order to take advantage of his low spin rate (no idea how easy it is to make that switch), then he is a decent bet to outperform Gio.
I keep pointing out Fried’s FA for the same reason I point out every pitchers’ stuff...it’s the best predictor of success. Unfortunately, we can’t see that data until they’ve already made it to the MLB level.
is it common for a guy like pache to still be on the roster right now?