Originally Posted by
Enscheff
Then if you want to assign value to guys ranked outside the Top 200, come up with a way to do it objectively. Saying "Travis Demeritte, Derian Cruz, Abrahan Gutierrez, AJ Minter, and on and on...these guys have real value and a much better chance of becoming something down the line than a ton of other players outside the top 200" means nothing. Where is the data to back up this claim? Where is the data that shows the Braves prosects outside the Top 200 are any more valuable, or have any better chance to become more valuable, than any other team's? If you want to counter a data-driven analysis, you either need to draw from more data, or show how the calculations were wrong. Making an unsubstantiated claim holds zero weight in this realm.
The only reason you list those guys is because you know them. I promise you any rabid Yankees fan can rattle off a list of 5 guys in their system they think have a chance to shoot up these lists.
The key word in what I did is "objective". I don't try to guess how much value someone has based on what I think of them. I used the data available, and only the data available, to come to my conclusion. And my conclusion was that the Braves were a clear cut #1, which is contrary to what I had been claiming before I looked into it. I quite literally proved myself wrong.
Everyone seems to want to fixate on my notes about Swanson dropping off the lists after 3 games, and the ChiSox imminent trade of Q and the addition of $50M-$100M in surplus value. I mentioned them because they were the most impactful, most likely, and soonest to happen major changes that would affect this analysis.