Debbie Downer maybe but I just don't see the optimism

[nsacpi]

I'd prefer to look at it by position. When you say 10+ win on the whole I agree it seems hard. Then you look into the details:

C - Push (maybe -.5)
1B - More +.5 (Due to the hope he plays more)
2B - More +2 (Yes I'm rather bullish on Albies)
SS - More +1 (Can he be that bad again?)
3B - More +1.5 (We all konw how I feel about Camargo)
RF - More +1.5 (Acuna to take over early)
CF - Less -.5 (I have a feeling we are going to see some decline in Ender)
RF - More .5 (Defense and Markakis moving over)

Thats six more wins from position players

Teheran + .5
Folty +.5
Newc +1
Gohara +2
McCarthy +1

Bullpen - Push only because its impossible to project this
Bench - Push for same reason as bullpen

there are a couple areas I would flag as overoptimistic...the decline at catcher could be larger...we got incredible production from Flowers/Suzuki last year...also Gohara/McCarthy being +3 over Garcia/Dickey looks a bit much