Yes, indeed. That's how averages work.
Braves as a team were dead average BABIP wise.
To the extent that they are replacing weak contact hitters with more powerful hitters or slow runners with faster ones, they might be able to make a case for finishing in the upper half of BABIP this year rather than right on the line.
I'm not sure if those numbers suggest that or not. I just posted them.
Depends on the player and their hitting profile.
Juan Pierre for example ran a 312 BABIP and a 86 WRC+ for his career.
Just as I'm sure there are a number of hulking sluggers with a below average because they hit a ton of flyballs.
In the end these things tend to average out however.
2016 Data:
wRC+ > 110 had a BABIp of .31663
wRC+ < 110 had a BABIP of .296523
See a pattern?
If you are a good hitter you will have a higher BABIP (ON AVERAGE)
Natural Immunity Croc
Come on now. Yes - There is noise but overall the better hitters in the league have a higher wRC+.
This is not hard nor sure should it be unexpected. Better hitters hit more line drives because they make better contact because they see the ball better. That is what makes them better.
I just think its wrong to say X hitter has a BABIP of Y but you have to regress why to Z which is the league average BABIP. Sure - Nobody is going to BABIP 400 for a season or even 360 but you should not assume a regression to 300 for every hitter. That is way to simplistic of an analysis.
Natural Immunity Croc
Last edited by nsacpi; 04-09-2018 at 03:01 PM.
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