Are we still buying that inflated BB rate?
Jaw (08-06-2018)
I never thought it was as good as May but I think about 7% might be real, because in life it's never as good or as bad as it seems.
As I've said though, Camargo....true talent .650 OPS'er on that left side.
Aggression with prospects is fine, but being stupid is not. There should be a way to find a happy medium between a Pirates like idea of being overly cautious with prospects and going stupidly fast with prospects.
Now let's discuss the HR/FB rates....
RH = 19.4%
LH = 15.2%
That would put him in the Top 20% among qualified batters while batting RHed, and in the Top 40% of qualified hitters while batting LHed.
Does his exit velocities on FBs warrant those HR/FB marks?
RH = 92.9 mph
LH = 89.2 mph
His FB exit velocities rank in the Top 40% while batting RHed, and in the BOTTOM 10% batting LHed.
So how sustainable do we think it is for a guy to have an above average HR/FB rate while sporting one of the worst average exit velocities on FBs?
Do we still think his 16.9% HR/FB so far in 2018 rate is sustainable (and by extension, that .200 ISO)? Or did we all learn something from watching what happened to the HR/FB rates of guys like MAdams, Suzuki, and Albies?
Last edited by Enscheff; 08-06-2018 at 01:47 PM.
I do think there is room for him to improve. He's already shown that he's improved dramatically from where he was in the minors.
How exactly has he improved?
Every predictive measure shows he is likely to walk 5%-7% of the time with an ISO of .100-.150 as a LHH....exactly what his MiLB numbers suggest.
I’m willing to bet the Braves FO is projecting him in exactly this manner, which is why they have been looking for a LHH guy at 3b.
Last edited by Enscheff; 08-06-2018 at 02:16 PM.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
gohara for gallo who says no
"Well, you’ll learn soon enough that this was a massive red wave landslide." - thethe on the 2020 election that trump lost bigly
“I can’t fix my life, but I can fix the world.” - sturg
I still can’t believe the Braves allowed Flaherty to be the only LH hitter off the bench during a playoff chase though. It should have been an easy upgrade to make.
Whoever the primary target may have been, a backup acquisition should have been ready to go.
I agree with you that Camargo is best suited for utility role perhaps on a platoon basis.
But Team Camargo can certainly point to a very real increase in power from both sides of the plate.
He's made himself into an average hitter from the right side wRC+ at 100, ISO at 150, BABIP at 278. the HR/FB rate might inflated, but he could still be growing into his power. The 15% rate looks more accurate than his 2% rate in 2017. the walk rate in general is definitely too high. I don't see his making big strides there to be particularly realistic.
If you are going to dream on Camargo that's where you start. In the sense that he's coming late to his power and improving generally, but specifically as a LH hitter.
The Braves unfortunately now have three starters with strong defensive skills who struggle from at least from one side of the plate. That seems like at least one too many.