jpx7 (11-26-2019)
The Marlins were dumb enough to fall for the same type of player in Alfaro and took him as a main piece in the JTR trade. Dumb teams are out there, AA just has to find them and take advantage of their stupidity.
However, you may be right and the best use for Riley is to keep him and hope he improves. He’s young and it’s certainly possible.
Last edited by Enscheff; 11-25-2019 at 08:45 PM.
jpx7 (11-26-2019)
jpx7 (11-26-2019)
While true, I’m guessing most/all of them were older than Riley. He was only playing his age 22 season last year, so it would be foolish to write him off after half a season.
If a team values him as a budding masher, the Braves should probably cash him in now. If teams only value him as a potential Jake Lamb with hit tool questions, then the Braves should probably hold onto him.
jpx7 (11-26-2019)
We should do what the people from Omelas did. Lock Riley in an underground room and let him wallow around in his own filth for all eternity so the gods will bless the rest of us with a World Series title. I think that would get the absolute maximum surplus value out of him.
jpx7 (11-26-2019)
His BB and K rate numbers in the majors are significantly worse than the major league equivalents of his BB and K rate numbers in AAA. We all saw his struggles with our own eyes. But the data suggest maybe they are overstated. Plus as you note he is young and still has plenty of time to figure some things out.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
"Well, you’ll learn soon enough that this was a massive red wave landslide." - thethe on the 2020 election that trump lost bigly
“I can’t fix my life, but I can fix the world.” - sturg
the crazy divergence between his AA k rate (20%) and major league K rate (36%) last season
it bears noting that in 2018 his AAA k rate was 29%.
None of the above come from a big sample. So we kind of have to put all three observations together and try to figure out what he was last year. My guess is the true underlying Riley in 2019 was a player who would strike out around 27% in AAA and around 30% in the majors.
That's not quite good enough. But if the true Riley can spend half of 2020 in AAA and become a player who strikes out around 24% in AAA and 27% in the majors that would be significant progress.
Last edited by nsacpi; 11-26-2019 at 09:46 AM.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
"Well, you’ll learn soon enough that this was a massive red wave landslide." - thethe on the 2020 election that trump lost bigly
“I can’t fix my life, but I can fix the world.” - sturg
Rosenthal kicking all sorts of stuff around this morning on Hot Stove - mentioned Boston potentially packaging Benintendi with Price to get money off the books. Quite sure he came up with it on his own - doesn't sound like something they'd leak this early other than to show that they're open to all sorts of ideas.
Don't see it happening, but would be interesting to see how much cash they'd have to kick in to get the type of return they'd hope to in that type of deal.
Has there EVER been a statement and question a certain someone should absolutely never have made and asked publicly more than...
Kinda pathetic to see yourself as a message board knight in shining armor. How impotent does someone have to be in real life to resort to playing hero on a message board?
Not crazy at all considering he was swinging through strikes and swinging at bad pitches at the same horrid rates from day 1, even when he was riding insane luck early. The only silver lining is that he’s still young. If he stays like Alfaro with less power he’s a below average hitter that can’t play catcher.
Folks love to talk about Riley’s power, but the fact of the matter is his power is merely above average, and isn’t nearly good enough to cover up the issues with the hit tool. We don’t have access to contact stats for MiLB, but we can be sure the Braves do. Hopefully those are the stats they will be watching as Riley works on things in AAA.
jpx7 (11-26-2019)
jpx7 (11-26-2019)
Kinda like Khris Davis posting a .247 BA for 4 consecutive years.
Carp (11-26-2019), jpx7 (11-26-2019), The Chosen One (11-26-2019)