Fivethirtyeight’s revised odds of winning over half of the pledged delegates:
Biden 88%
No one 10%
Sanders 2%
Harris is poison. She's not liked by the Black COmmunity and Fox News will be showing that cringy clip where she talked about smoking reefer to pander to the black voters. Add in the fact that smart back channel will harp on her conviction rates of minorities and hard line stances on drug use. Again, the reps don't need to win voters, they need to keep people from showing up. Gabbard would be interesting, but I don't think Joe goes for her after her present vote in the impeachment.
VP choices matter. Pence solidified Trump with the religious right, a group that should never vote for him because he's adulterous, greedy, etc. with no history of religious practice. Obama had to pick Biden to sure up his conservative democratic base and to appease east coast dems.
I do agree that Sanders would be ideal, but he won't be a VP at this point. If he would have been one it would have been for Hillary.
Biden's VP choice matters. I think you're right that he goes woman but I could see him going with an agressive bulldog VP like Booker to attack Trump and Pence while he keeps his hands clean in the background. It wouldn't be the smartest choice but it could happen.
Reality is I think he goes Klobuchar or whatever the Governor of Michigan's name is. Same basic tactic Hillary took with Kaine to sure up Virginia. Klobuchar making the most sense as she has a name. But I won't write BOoker off, if he wants to bet on the black vote that's my guess for his pick.
Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg
Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg
goldfly (03-06-2020)
Runnin (03-07-2020)
"This isnt a rush to war, it's a march to peace and prosperity"
Joe "I've done dumb things before and I will do dumb things again" Biden.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.
When this ends badly. Remember we knew there was something wrong with Joe and people willingly chose to ignore it. Theres a reason his campaign staff limited his events and interviews. Maybe a traditional politician wouldn't pounce on this but Trump will hyperfocus on this. This is the Joe he will be showing people with his billion dollars of ads. And they dont wven have to lie about this. They will take this and run with it to an extreme.
Last edited by cajunrevenge; 03-07-2020 at 02:03 PM.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.
Bernies doing a town hall on Fox News this Monday evening with Bret brair. I wish it was Tucker and Bernie going after it in prime time, that would be must see tv
I'm starting to think the bait and switch will happen. Post convention Biden becomes "too ill to run" and they switch him out with a different candidate, maybe it's Michelle Obama, maybe it's Kamala Harris, maybe it's Buttigieg. But basically take the electability aspect of the race out of it. Harris and Buttigieg couldn't beat Sanders but Biden could and then he drops out after the convention and is replaced by someone else. Delegates don't matter at that point.
Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg
So you think the Democrat party will replace Biden with a worse candidate? The shot callers that want Biden over Bernie because Biden has a better chance to beat Trump, will replace Biden with a weaker opponent for trump? Does that make any rational sense to you?
If it’s not Biden it’ll be Bloomberg. That was the plan all along.
acesfull86 (03-07-2020)
Stockholm, more densely populated than NYC - sturg
Bernie should be down on his hands and knees begging Warren to endorse him and be his running mate. If he doesn't have the ability to bring her on his team then he doesn't have the political skill to push his revolution through.
FFF - BB, BB, 2B, HR, 2B, HR, 1B, BB, BB, 1B, BB, BB, HR