I'm glad to see the emerging consensus that FIP is flawed not to mention unfair.
That's fair. I wasn't quite sure how that went.
I think it's fair to be skeptical of Johnson moving forward since he has recent history of relying more heavily on luck than other successful relievers.
I think the bigger concern with JJ is whether or not he's going to have control moving forward. If that regresses back to the mean than I think there is a fair chance he can be a useful guy.
Ultimately, FIP is neither fair nor unfair. It is a statistic that can be used correctly or incorrectly, with context or without context.
When we speak of it being "unfair" to flyball pitchers, this is:
1) referring to a very minor effect for a small number of pitchers
2) merely something that should be considered when evaluating future potential
FIP doesn't treat any pitcher differently than any other, so it is equally "fair." FIP doesn't capture all sorts of value, because that's not what it is for.
Last edited by Metaphysicist; 12-15-2014 at 09:15 PM.
Braves1976 (12-15-2014)
http://www.talkingchop.com/2014/12/1...s-trade-rumors
Speculating that Varvaro could be soon included in a deal with Justin or Gattis. All I know is we better get something decent for him.
Tapate50 (12-15-2014)
So we cut a durable Vavarro but keep David Carpenter....
gcbraves (12-16-2014)
and the bad offseason continues
"For there is always light, if only we are brave enough to see it. If only we are brave enough to be it." Amanda Gorman
"When Fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"
AerchAngel (12-16-2014), Braves1976 (12-15-2014), Dalyn (12-15-2014), goldfly (12-16-2014), Julio3000 (12-15-2014)
The main reason I don't like this move is because Varvaro is a guy who can go multiple innings in addition to the typical one inning as everyone else.
"Don't tell me the sky's the limit when there are footprints on the moon"
AerchAngel (12-16-2014), cajunrevenge (12-15-2014), Dalyn (12-17-2014), Garmel (12-16-2014), Gary82 (12-15-2014), goldfly (12-16-2014), JohnAdcox (12-15-2014), jpx7 (12-15-2014), Metaphysicist (12-16-2014), NinersSBChamps (12-17-2014), NYCBrave (12-16-2014), Tapate50 (12-15-2014), TXBravesFan (12-15-2014)