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Thread: The 2018 Midterms

  1. #61
    It's OVER 5,000! 57Brave's Avatar
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    Framing these results as anything other than a repudiation of Trump and his (GOP) policies is delusional.
    I mean results going back to the Ga-06. The seat to replace a (at the time) sitting cabinet member.
    Even the (R) wins are less than up to Nov 2016 levels

    Please bear in mind the 66M vs 63M so many of you poo poo.
    Or the gerrymadered states where one party gets 60ish% of the vote but only 40ish% of the seats
    No one knows what will happen in November and there is a political eternity between then and now
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 57Brave View Post
    Framing these results as anything other than a repudiation of Trump and his (GOP) policies is delusional.
    I mean results going back to the Ga-06. The seat to replace a (at the time) sitting cabinet member.
    Even the (R) wins are less than up to Nov 2016 levels

    Please bear in mind the 66M vs 63M so many of you poo poo.
    Or the gerrymadered states where one part gets 60ish% of the vote but only 40ish% of the seats
    No one knows what will happen in November and there is a political eternity between then and now
    2018 midterms are gonna be a tsunami...i think the swing in the House will be over 70 seats
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

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    I'm not so sure and wish I shared your optimism
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

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    Jon Favreau
    ‏Verified account @jonfavs
    2h2 hours ago

    Conor Lamb campaigned:
    1. For universal health care
    2. Against Trump’s tax cut
    3. For expanded background checks
    4. For stronger unions
    5. Against cuts to Social Security
    6. For a woman’s right to choose
    7. For medical marijuana

    “Conservative Democrat.” Ok. Cool.

    432 replies 6,369 retweets 24,819 likes
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    I am currently politically homeless. It is not the worst thing in the world. I don't see myself becoming a Democrat. I will bide my time and see if the Republican party returns to its senses. If not, I think something new will come up.

    Well there is a third party whose main platform is freedom.
    "Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.

    It’s over."


    Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by cajunrevenge View Post
    Well there is a third party whose main platform is freedom.
    which party is that
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    I don't know about a six-point bump. The average over the last couple weeks of campaigning was Lamb +2.
    That number is skewed by a Gravis Marketing poll that had Saccone +3.

    Gravis is ... horrible.

    I'm referring to the last survey taken, by Monmouth: https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-ins...oll_pa_031218/

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    Quote Originally Posted by Forever Fredi View Post
    In other words, he's a politician that knows his district.
    Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
    Natural Immunity Croc

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    It also helps with the incumbent hasn't been forced to resign (for having an affair with a woman and asking her to have an abortion).

    That tends not to roll downhill well.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
    or that there are moderate and more liberal democrats?

    jokes tho. trump is the ultimate panderer. and he turned a 20 pt lead into a defeat.
    according to paul ryan, trump closed the gap...that trump himself created. clowns.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawk View Post
    That tends not to roll downhill well.
    either does having an unpopular prez

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    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawk View Post
    That number is skewed by a Gravis Marketing poll that had Saccone +3.

    Gravis is ... horrible.

    I'm referring to the last survey taken, by Monmouth: https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-ins...oll_pa_031218/
    Yes, I saw the Monmouth poll. I posted about it upthread.. Seems like cherry picking to choose that one, tbh. Trump's rally was on the 10th. The poll was taken from 8th-11th. Is your contention that it drove turnout for Saccone? I'm not sure I understand how this six-point special sauce worked.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Super View Post
    either does having an unpopular prez
    That's not reflected here.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
    Lamb is not going to vote for much, because his district is going to disappear before the midterms.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    Yes, I saw the Monmouth poll. I posted about it upthread.. Seems like cherry picking to choose that one, tbh. Trump's rally was on the 10th. The poll was taken from 8th-11th. Is your contention that it drove turnout for Saccone? I'm not sure I understand how this six-point special sauce worked.
    The Emerson poll taken at the beginning of March also shows movement toward Lamb. Whether it's a 2, 3, or 6 point bump is kinda irrelevant, imo. It's a significant bounce against late polling that was trending Saccone.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    Lamb is not going to vote for much, because his district is going to disappear before the midterms.
    Any vote is a data point to see which side is really on the side of the majority within the state. Easy to say you're for something but the voting is where it counts

  18. #77
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    Just like 2010, the opposition party will have a massive victory in the midterms.

    Nothing new there

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    which party is that
    The unicorn party

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawk View Post
    The Emerson poll taken at the beginning of March also shows movement toward Lamb. Whether it's a 2, 3, or 6 point bump is kinda irrelevant, imo. It's a significant bounce against late polling that was trending Saccone.
    But you chose 6. Got it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
    Most of them will never know. Waves are driven by increased enthusiasm on one side or the other driving higher turnout for that side. How informed do you think the voters who sat out the previous election are likely to be?
    Go get him!

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