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Thread: Parkland School Shooting

  1. #581
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    How do you want to define an assault weapon?

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    That's because Obama and his ilk pine for a time when the government confiscated all weapons from the citizens.
    Forever Fredi


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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    This sort of reasoning runs counter to your sabermetric persona from the baseball forum.
    Indeed. Polling is subjective though and who knows if people are even telling the truth. The secret Trump voters for example was a real thing. Baseball data, for the most part, is hard fact.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    How do you want to define an assault weapon?
    That's a great question. I would love for there to be a real debate on this topic without the conversation derailing into an 18th century retrospective on the plight of the freed man.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Indeed. Polling is subjective though and who knows if people are even telling the truth. The secret Trump voters for example was a real thing. Baseball data, for the most part, is hard fact.
    Classic black swan fallacy.

    Though I disagree with general assertion that statistics is a measure of hard data only. Measurement and modeling errors are ubiqitious.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    That's a great question. I would love for there to be a real debate on this topic without the conversation derailing into an 18th century retrospective on the plight of the freed man.
    To discount that any civilization can take a turn for the worst is crazy to me.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    To discount that any civilization can take a turn for the worst is crazy to me.
    Me five minutes ago...
    I totally understand the slippery slope fear when it comes to gun control measures
    I'm simply advocating that its possible to restrict certain type of gun ownership and still champion second amendment rights. I've never understood how this issue turned black and white.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Classic black swan fallacy.

    Though I disagree with general assertion that statistics is a measure of hard data only. Measurement and modeling errors are ubiqitious.
    The models and measurement can be wrong, sure. However it's still all based on things that actually happen. There is really no guess work there. Polls are a different animal.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Me five minutes ago...


    I'm simply advocating that its possible to restrict certain type of gun ownership and still champion second amendment rights. I've never understood how this issue turned black and white.
    There is a way but it takes sensible people to be able to push that through. That's not what our government is about though.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Me five minutes ago...


    I'm simply advocating that its possible to restrict certain type of gun ownership and still champion second amendment rights. I've never understood how this issue turned black and white.
    Semi automatic rifles in any capacity should not be restricted. That's is a line in the sand for me.

    I'm even for permitting automatic rifles with extremely strict regulation. I don't rely on others for my safety.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    The models and measurement can be wrong, sure. However it's still all based on things that actually happen. There is really no guess work there. Polls are a different animal.
    Polls have also been shown to be historically very accurate with no clear trend of long-term bias towards either Democrats or Republicans, despite the occasional instance of short-term bias. If the bias is random and the prediction accuracy is high, what you have is likely a really good model.

    So like I said, the 2016 election is blackest of all black swans.
    Last edited by chop2chip; 02-26-2018 at 04:24 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    Semi automatic rifles in any capacity should not be restricted. That's is a line in the sand for me.

    I'm even for permitting automatic rifles with extremely strict regulation. I don't rely on others for my safety.
    You leftist. You can never know...

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Polls have also been shown to be historically very accurate with no clear trend of long-term bias towards either Democrats or Republicans, despite the occasional instance of short-term bias. If the bias is random and the prediction accuracy is high, you can assume to have a really good model.

    So like I said, the 2016 election is blackest of all black swans.
    There is a reason 2016 ended up like that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesnumberone View Post
    You leftist. You can never know...
    That is actually a machine of war but one that I think responsible people should get to own.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thethe View Post
    There is a reason 2016 ended up like that.
    Looking back, yes, I think we can reasonably describe why the polls underestimated Trump.

    It seems silly to me though to assume all polls are wrong / biased because of that one year.

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    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...ks-out-n593356

    Still waiting on someone to tell me why these types of weapons are necessary to be available to civilians.

    As thethe has informed us, the conservative military with the massive budget will stop any globalist/leftist/communist/socialist/dictator president and his or her henchmen from getting us.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Me five minutes ago...


    I'm simply advocating that its possible to restrict certain type of gun ownership and still champion second amendment rights. I've never understood how this issue turned black and white.


    People are hesitant to give any ground because it wont stop there. I think a lot of people would be open to compromise on things like the AR-15 but they know that wont be the end of it no matter how much they promise.
    "Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.

    It’s over."


    Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.

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  20. #598
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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Looking back, yes, I think we can reasonably describe why the polls underestimated Trump.

    It seems silly to me though to assume all polls are wrong / biased because of that one year.
    There is intentional oversampling of segments of the population. I'm sorry but the integrity of media/polling agencies on both side is in the toilet.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesnumberone View Post
    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...ks-out-n593356

    Still waiting on someone to tell me why these types of weapons are necessary to be available to civilians.

    As thethe has informed us, the conservative military with the massive budget will stop any globalist/leftist/communist/socialist/dictator president and his or her henchmen from getting us.
    Until someone like Obama wins again and pushes for tyranny.

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    Its a weird dichotomy in the Republican party that suggests we should invest heavily in a state military, yet we should stop at nothing to protect our right to arm ourselves to defend against tyranny of the state.

    Intuitively, I guess I understand the rationale, but seems rather inconsistent.

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