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Thread: Winter Meetings Thread

  1. #521
    NL Rookie of the Year dak's Avatar
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    $/WAR is determined based off the FA market, right?

    If we all acknowledge that high WAR players are a better value than low WAR players that demonstrates solidly the futility of using an average $/WAR. This is before considering the relative value of a $ per team and the different market valuation of different WAR components in the open market. I don't think $/WAR (in the simplest sense) is even a useful rule of thumb.to a

    It's certainly not a good barometer to approximate the value of a potential Joe Ross trade.

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    I was just about to post that tweet, Dak. To me, Boston makes the most sense. That team would absolutely stacked.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    $/WAR is determined based off the FA market, right?

    If we all acknowledge that high WAR players are a better value than low WAR players that demonstrates solidly the futility of using an average $/WAR. This is before considering the relative value of a $ per team and the different market valuation of different WAR components in the open market. I don't think $/WAR (in the simplest sense) is even a useful rule of thumb.to a

    It's certainly not a good barometer to approximate the value of a potential Joe Ross trade.
    I don't see the issue in using $/WAR as an indicator. If you are saying Ross is X good (WAR) and he's getting paid x, then this is how valuable he is as a trade asset compared to another player that is getting paid more.
    "Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe

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    The #Redsox and #Nats now in a dual battle for #WhiteSox ace Chris Sale with #Braves as dark horse

    That was per Bob Nightengale......sounds good, let the Nats and Sox run up the cost on each other.
    Get off my lawn!

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    Man, I hope the Nats pull the deal off and include both Robles and Giolito. That would be amazing.

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    This is terrific! Raise that price!

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    Cotillo: Braves "love" Chris Sale and are still trying to acquire him, baseball source tells SB Nation. Atlanta not making as much progress as others

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    Quote Originally Posted by UNCBlue012 View Post
    Cotillo: Braves "love" Chris Sale and are still trying to acquire him, baseball source tells SB Nation. Atlanta not making as much progress as others
    Hope they don't "love" him like they "loved" Olivera.

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    $/WAR is determined based off the FA market, right?

    If we all acknowledge that high WAR players are a better value than low WAR players that demonstrates solidly the futility of using an average $/WAR. This is before considering the relative value of a $ per team and the different market valuation of different WAR components in the open market. I don't think $/WAR (in the simplest sense) is even a useful rule of thumb.to a

    It's certainly not a good barometer to approximate the value of a potential Joe Ross trade.
    $/WAR is based on the FA market because that is where $/WAR can be evaluated. If a player literally costs a certain $/WAR on the FA market, then that is, by definition, his value no matter how he was acquired.

    This really isn't a complex concept to grasp. You are only questioning it because it shows Joe Ross' value is close to or greater than Julio's value, and your homerism can't handle it. Young average MLB players making the minimum are extremely valuable whether you choose to grasp that fact or not.
    Last edited by Enscheff; 12-06-2016 at 01:14 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gilesfan View Post
    I don't see the issue in using $/WAR as an indicator. If you are saying Ross is X good (WAR) and he's getting paid x, then this is how valuable he is as a trade asset compared to another player that is getting paid more.
    Disentangling the two is fine, which is what everyone does. Obviously, Anthony Rizzo is really good and he's being paid little money. That's very intuitive.

    The difference, as an economist would like to say, is at the margins. Bryce Harper in has last two years as a free agent is going to provide, by $/WAR's standard, something like $60-80 in surplus value. Are five years of Chris Archer (whose worth somewhere around $80-100 in surplus value) worth two years of Bryce Harper plus a prospect? No.

    I understand the limitations of that analysis. I do understand teams do have some form of $/WAR that likely adjusts for market, position, offense/defense, etc., so this is more of a critique of using linear $/WAR. IMO, it's one of those things that's not very useful unless it's done correctly.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    $/WAR is based on the FA market because that is where $/WAR can be evaluated. If a player literally costs a certain $/WAR on the FA market, then that is, by definition, his value no matter how he was acquired.

    This really isn't a complex concept to grasp.
    Got it. A $ for the Rays is the same as a $ for the Dodgers. Didn't know that.

    It all makes so much more sense now.

  13. #533
    Anytime Now Frankie...
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    Sale to Redsox for Moncada Kopech and two others holy ****

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    Quote Originally Posted by Oklahomabrave View Post
    Sale to Redsox for Moncada Kopech and two others holy ****
    I would have taken Robles/Giolito+ if I was the White Sox, but that's a great return as well.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Oklahomabrave View Post
    Sale to Redsox for Moncada Kopech and two others holy ****
    that's a YUGE get for the Chi Sox.....good for them
    Get off my lawn!

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    moncada is the #1 prospect in baseball right now while kopech was number 67
    Get off my lawn!

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Disentangling the two is fine, which is what everyone does. Obviously, Anthony Rizzo is really good and he's being paid little money. That's very intuitive.

    The difference, as an economist would like to say, is at the margins. Bryce Harper in has last two years as a free agent is going to provide, by $/WAR's standard, something like $60-80 in surplus value. Are five years of Chris Archer (whose worth somewhere around $80-100 in surplus value) worth two years of Bryce Harper plus a prospect? No
    .

    I understand the limitations of that analysis. I do understand teams do have some form of $/WAR that likely adjusts for market, position, offense/defense, etc., so this is more of a critique of using linear $/WAR. IMO, it's one of those things that's not very useful unless it's done correctly.
    This is where team specific situations come into play. A team looking to win now would trade a cheap and good for the future player for a stud player who only has a couple of years left.

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    WOW!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by chop2chip View Post
    Got it. A $ for the Rays is the same as a $ for the Dodgers. Didn't know that.

    It all makes so much more sense now.
    In terms of purchasing power it is. The A's aren't given a discount on the FA market because of their small payroll.

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    This is a crazy deal for the Red Sox. I mean, they're easily AL favorites, but WOW.

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