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Thread: Matt Kemp Possibilities

  1. #21
    NL Rookie of the Year dak's Avatar
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    I think his uptick in motivation will allow him to outperform his projections this year. The two projection systems have him valued at 0 WAR in a healthy, 600 PA season. I'd say he has a 50% chance of being a 1 WAR player, and maybe a 25% chance of being a 2 WAR player. We stand a decent chance of seeing him earn the $8.5m offset we are effectively paying him this year.

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    It's OVER 5,000! msstate7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    85 XBH?? good grief.. 40 hrs.. 45 doubles??
    30 hr, 40 2b, 15 3b... add that to the 25 steals

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    Are we using BA, HR and RBI to evaluate a player now? Is it 1983 again?

    I can see him hitting 35 HRs with an OPS of ~.800 though, and average base running (25 SBs is laughably optimistic).

    No matter how well he hits, his defense will be so utterly putrid he won't be worth more than 1 win in total.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Are we using BA, HR and RBI to evaluate a player now? Is it 1983 again?

    I can see him hitting 35 HRs though with an OPS of ~.800, and average base running (25 SBs is laughable).

    No matter how well he hits, his base running and defense will be so utterly putrid he won't be worth more than 1 win in total.
    I'll take that bet... I say kemp is 1.0 or better

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    I'll take that bet... I say kemp is 1.0 or better
    can I take the 15 3B bet? PLEASSSSEEEEEEE...

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    It's OVER 5,000! msstate7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    can I take the 15 3B bet? PLEASSSSEEEEEEE...
    Nah, I'm thinking it'll be 13 on second thought haha

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    I'll take that bet... I say kemp is 1.0 or better
    Signature bet. Deal. We using bWAR or fWAR?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Signature bet. Deal. We using bWAR or fWAR?
    bWAR

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    bWAR
    Done and done.

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    # of games stipulation>
    does trade nullify bet>
    how long does signature remain>
    What if one loses two signature bets, whose takes president>

    I feel there is a lot of loose ends here..

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    Quote Originally Posted by dak View Post
    I think his uptick in motivation will allow him to outperform his projections this year. The two projection systems have him valued at 0 WAR in a healthy, 600 PA season. I'd say he has a 50% chance of being a 1 WAR player, and maybe a 25% chance of being a 2 WAR player. We stand a decent chance of seeing him earn the $8.5m offset we are effectively paying him this year.
    What he said

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    I also think the slightly smaller park will help push Kemp's WAR total over 1 for the year. Honestly, I am just ready for some baseball to start playing.

    I have debated on getting the MiLBtv package. Anyone can confirm if it is worth it?

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    I also think the slightly smaller park will help push Kemp's WAR total over 1 for the year. Honestly, I am just ready for some baseball to start playing.

    I have debated on getting the MiLBtv package. Anyone can confirm if it is worth it?
    I have enjoyed it. The main issue I have is that I live in NC and a lot of the games are blacked out.

  16. #34
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    Quote Originally Posted by Russ2dollas View Post
    I have enjoyed it. The main issue I have is that I live in NC and a lot of the games are blacked out.
    they black out minor league games too? can you view minor league games with an MLBtv package?

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    Should of went with fWAR. It's kinder to Kemp.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Should of went with fWAR. It's kinder to Kemp.
    Agreed. Even with his significantly improved offense in Atlanta, he was worth 0 WAR in his time here last year. You're going to have to see either a jump to near-peak Kemp offensively, or you're going to have to see a significant improvement in his defense. I'm not sure either is likely.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Should of went with fWAR. It's kinder to Kemp.
    have you noticed that Bref did a site update. I think I like it better.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Should of went with fWAR. It's kinder to Kemp.
    Silence you insolent fool!

  21. #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    have you noticed that Bref did a site update. I think I like it better.
    I noticed it earlier today. I haven't had a chance to look at it that much though.

  22. #40
    It's OVER 5,000! msstate7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Should of went with fWAR. It's kinder to Kemp.
    I don't really care. I check bWAR, so that's the one I went with it. The worst that can happen is I have a signature that makes me look dumb and I do a good job of that myself haha

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