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Thread: 5/14 GDT vs Cards

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    5/14 GDT vs Cards

    Acuna
    Swanson
    Freeman
    Donaldson
    Markakis
    Albies
    McCann
    Inciarte
    Folty

  2. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Slippyjms For This Useful Post:

    Freshmaker (05-14-2019),UNCBlue012 (05-14-2019)

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    Really need folty to be last year's folty

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    UNCBlue012 (05-14-2019)

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    Expecting a big game from Albies.
    Forever Fredi


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    Where's My Cup of Coffee? Freshmaker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Freshmaker View Post
    I mean, this seems to be a pretty good move to me. I'm not in love with Biddle or Parsons, but they're better than a stagnant Wright and Blevins. lol
    "Can a man still be brave if he is afraid? That is the only time a man can be brave." - G.R.R.M (Game of Thrones)

    "So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past." - F. Scott Fitzgerald (G. Gatsby)

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    expecting a yuge game from Markakis
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Sabermetric Slut
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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    Really need folty to be last year's folty
    won't happen with his declining velocity

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    won't happen with his declining velocity
    TJ surgery incoming.

    Foltz will be just like Smoltz.
    Forever Fredi


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    Pen currently consists of:

    Righties: Jackson, Webb, Winkler, Parsons, Tomlin

    Lefties: Newk, Venters, Biddle

    This Cards lineup is strongly right handed. With the significant exception of Matt Carpenter. He is hitting lefties better this year but that's misleading. He has pretty pronounced conventional splits for his career. Their other lefty is Kolten Wong, who has pronounced conventional splits. Dexter Fowler is a switch hitter who for his career hits lefties slightly better. The best matchup against a switch hitter is a pitcher with reverse splits. Biddle would be our man.
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Braves batters xwOBA vs RHP in 2019 (min 50 PAs):

    Brian McCann 0.403
    Nick Markakis 0.396
    Freddie Freeman 0.395
    Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.385
    Tyler Flowers 0.377
    Josh Donaldson 0.377
    Dansby Swanson 0.359
    Ozzie Albies 0.325
    Johan Camargo 0.272
    Ender Inciarte 0.259

    We are at the point in the season where this data should be informing the lineup.

    Markakis batting 5th vs a RHP is a bad move, as is Albies hitting in front of Mac.

    The lineup vs RHP should be:

    Markakis
    Acuna
    Freeman
    Donaldson
    Mac
    Swanson
    Albies
    Ender
    Last edited by Enscheff; 05-14-2019 at 03:34 PM.
    I think he (Teheran) finishes with a FIP ~3.3. -CrazyTrain 3/35/2019

    Gausman had a bad walk ratio for us -CrazyTrain 11/20/2018
    BB/9 with Braves: 2.72

    Fried, Newk and a couple other guys for Bumgarner and give him a pay day for 6ish years -CrazyTrain 10/15/18

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Braves batters xwOBA vs RHP in 2019 (min 50 PAs):

    Brian McCann 0.403
    Nick Markakis 0.396
    Freddie Freeman 0.395
    Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.385
    Tyler Flowers 0.377
    Josh Donaldson 0.377
    Dansby Swanson 0.359
    Ozzie Albies 0.325
    Johan Camargo 0.272
    Ender Inciarte 0.259

    We are at the point in the season where this data should be informing the lineup.

    Markakis batting 5th vs a RHP is a bad move, as is Albies hitting in front of Mac.

    The lineup vs RHP should be:

    Markakis
    Acuna
    Freeman
    Donalson
    Mac
    Swanson
    Albies
    Ender
    it works out nicely that the optimal lineup also ends up being mostly LRLR
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Braves batters xwOBA vs RHP in 2019 (min 50 PAs):

    Brian McCann 0.403
    Nick Markakis 0.396
    Freddie Freeman 0.395
    Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.385
    Tyler Flowers 0.377
    Josh Donaldson 0.377
    Dansby Swanson 0.359
    Ozzie Albies 0.325
    Johan Camargo 0.272
    Ender Inciarte 0.259

    We are at the point in the season where this data should be informing the lineup.

    Markakis batting 5th vs a RHP is a bad move, as is Albies hitting in front of Mac.

    The lineup vs RHP should be:

    Markakis
    Acuna
    Freeman
    Donalson
    Mac
    Swanson
    Albies
    Ender
    Gawd that lineup is pretty.
    "Can a man still be brave if he is afraid? That is the only time a man can be brave." - G.R.R.M (Game of Thrones)

    "So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past." - F. Scott Fitzgerald (G. Gatsby)

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    Seems pretty crazy that Luke Jackson is currently the Braves closer.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Orphan Black View Post
    Seems pretty crazy that Luke Jackson is currently the Braves closer.
    Jackson has been a statcast darling for 2-3 years now, so it's not totally surprising. The data on his pitches and the fact he is still cheap is why he kept getting chances to dial in his control despite relatively poor results.
    I think he (Teheran) finishes with a FIP ~3.3. -CrazyTrain 3/35/2019

    Gausman had a bad walk ratio for us -CrazyTrain 11/20/2018
    BB/9 with Braves: 2.72

    Fried, Newk and a couple other guys for Bumgarner and give him a pay day for 6ish years -CrazyTrain 10/15/18

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    Not as much data, but Braves xwOBA vs LHP in 2019 (min 25 PAs):

    Freddie Freeman 0.493
    Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.457
    Dansby Swanson 0.418
    Josh Donaldson 0.370
    Ozzie Albies 0.350
    Ender Inciarte 0.324
    Nick Markakis 0.305
    Johan Camargo 0.294
    Tyler Flowers 0.168

    Understanding Freeman is cemented in the 3 hole, and Mac will not see many PAs vs LHP, the lineup vs LHP should be:

    Swanson/Albies
    Acuna
    Freeman
    Donaldson
    Albies/Swanson
    Markakis
    Flowers
    Inciarte/Camargo

    Culberson probably needs to get some more time vs LHP, or another RHH OF acquired, if Camargo continues to struggle.
    I think he (Teheran) finishes with a FIP ~3.3. -CrazyTrain 3/35/2019

    Gausman had a bad walk ratio for us -CrazyTrain 11/20/2018
    BB/9 with Braves: 2.72

    Fried, Newk and a couple other guys for Bumgarner and give him a pay day for 6ish years -CrazyTrain 10/15/18

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    This notion that the Braves are 3-0 due to moving Acuna to lead off is absurd...

    Full season Runs/G: 4.8
    Last 3 Games Runs/G: 4.3

    The Braves have scored fewer runs over the last 3 games than their season average, and yet somehow the narrative is that the new lineup has jump started the club.

    This type of stupidity is truly mind boggling.
    Last edited by Enscheff; 05-14-2019 at 03:55 PM.
    I think he (Teheran) finishes with a FIP ~3.3. -CrazyTrain 3/35/2019

    Gausman had a bad walk ratio for us -CrazyTrain 11/20/2018
    BB/9 with Braves: 2.72

    Fried, Newk and a couple other guys for Bumgarner and give him a pay day for 6ish years -CrazyTrain 10/15/18

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    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    This notion that the Braves are 3-0 due to moving Acuna to lead off is absurd...

    Full season Runs/G: 4.8
    Last 3 Games Runs/G: 4.3

    The Braves have scored fewer runs over the last 3 games than their season average, and yet somehow the narrative is that the new lineup has jump started the club.

    This type of stupidity is truly mind boggling.
    maybe our run prevention improves with Acuna batting leadoff
    “It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.” Senator Bob Corker

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    maybe our run prevention improves with Acuna batting leadoff
    Moving Acuna to leadoff has definitely had a positive effect on our bullpen BB rate.
    "No thanks, I'd rather sit in the balcony" - Abe Lincoln

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    JD is 0 for his last 2. That tiny sample is getting bigger.

    He should probably sit for a game since he's cold now.
    I think he (Teheran) finishes with a FIP ~3.3. -CrazyTrain 3/35/2019

    Gausman had a bad walk ratio for us -CrazyTrain 11/20/2018
    BB/9 with Braves: 2.72

    Fried, Newk and a couple other guys for Bumgarner and give him a pay day for 6ish years -CrazyTrain 10/15/18

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    Anytime Now Frankie...
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    To be fair.... if we are winning, don’t mess with it!

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