Official pre-Draft thread

**Enscheff** · 06-12-2017, 04:29 PM

Originally Posted by CJ9

Fangraphs new mock goes McKay Greene Gore Lewis.

5. Atlanta – Kyle Wright, RHP, Vanderbilt
Wright is the top player on my board, and I think he’d be a steal here, but there’s a chance Atlanta goes underslot with Concordia Lutheran HS (TX) Shane Baz, UC Irvine 2B? Keston Hiura and Huntington Beach HS 1B Nick Pratto. They’ve also had North Carolina prep outfielder Austin Beck in to work out, but I think there’s less money to be saved there than with the other names. If Wright doesn’t go here, he should be considered the favorite at each pick until he does.

Wright would be ready to join the rotation in 2019 if this happens.

**nsacpi** · 06-12-2017, 04:30 PM

Beyond the first round I am hoping for two things:

1) We stay away from high school pitchers in rounds 2 and 3.

2) We go heavy on college pitchers in rounds 4-10.

The above are based on an analysis of our historical yield record for different types of players in different parts of the draft.

**Southcack77** · 06-12-2017, 04:31 PM

Originally Posted by Enscheff

Forgot ever saying that. Pretty sure I've said I want Lewis/Wright, followed by Gore.

I would certainly prefer Beck or Adell/Pratto/Baz to Pratto/Haseley/Hiura though if the Barves are dead set on going under slot.

I thought it was a well thought out post.

You basically said that Lewis had a reasonably high floor but a limited ceiling. At #5 you said that Lewis's floor would be a waste and of limited value so you had rather swing for the fences with Beck's higher ceiling.

Maybe you are higher on Lewis now than you were.

**CJ9** · 06-12-2017, 04:32 PM

Originally Posted by Enscheff

Wright would be ready to join the rotation in 2019 if this happens.

Agreed. Start 2018 in Florida and don't be afraid to be aggressive with him. He's that advanced.

**Enscheff** · 06-12-2017, 04:38 PM

Originally Posted by CJ9

Agreed. Start 2018 in Florida and don't be afraid to be aggressive with him. He's that advanced.

I think Minor's track would be the model for Wright.

2009: 14 IP in Rome the year of the draft. A light work load for a guy that has been ridden pretty hard at Vandy.

2010: 120 IP between AA and AAA.

2011: 100 IP in AAA, 80+ IP in MLB.

**nsacpi** · 06-12-2017, 04:44 PM

Looks like the Twins might cut a deal with Lewis.

Interesting scenario.

**Enscheff** · 06-12-2017, 04:45 PM

Originally Posted by Southcack77

I thought it was a well thought out post.

You basically said that Lewis had a reasonably high floor but a limited ceiling. At #5 you said that Lewis's floor would be a waste and of limited value so you had rather swing for the fences with Beck's higher ceiling.

Maybe you are higher on Lewis now than you were.

As I've seen more info, I am higher on Lewis' ceiling, and lower on Beck's and Adell's risks. Therefore, I prefer Lewis to both.

My preference at 5 (assuming Greene is gone) is Wright/Lewis/Gore, with a pretty big gap between Lewis and Gore.

If the Braves are going under slot, give me Beck/Adell/Baz in no particular order over Pratto/Hiura/Haseley, though I prefer Haseley to the other 2. If they go under slot, they better get another 50 or high 45 FV at 41, or it was pointless to skip BPA at 5.

**dak** · 06-12-2017, 04:50 PM

Reading through all the publicly available info, I don't have a strong preference between Wright and Lewis. Would be very happy to get either at 5. Austin Beck scares me.

**CJ9** · 06-12-2017, 04:53 PM

Fangraphs says Lewis is represented by Boras, and we already know Gore is.

**zbhargrove** · 06-12-2017, 04:56 PM

If Lewis goes to the Twins, how does that shake things up? How far does McKay fall? Is McKay someone we would take? I think I'd rather have Wright.

**CJ9** · 06-12-2017, 05:02 PM

Originally Posted by zbhargrove

If Lewis goes to the Twins, how does that shake things up? How far does McKay fall? Is McKay someone we would take? I think I'd rather have Wright.

Seems like Greene at 2 and Gore at 3 is set. So McKay probably to 4? Then we get wright still. That's my best guess.

**thewupk** · 06-12-2017, 05:04 PM

Originally Posted by CJ9

Seems like Greene at 2 and Gore at 3 is set. So McKay probably to 4? Then we get wright still. That's my best guess.

Either way it works out for the Braves if we don't get cute here.

**zbhargrove** · 06-12-2017, 05:08 PM

Originally Posted by CJ9

Seems like Greene at 2 and Gore at 3 is set. So McKay probably to 4? Then we get wright still. That's my best guess.

It doesn't sound like Tampa Bay is interested in taking McKay... sounds like they want to go well underslot.

**mqt** · 06-12-2017, 05:16 PM