Lord BABIP

[Julio3000]

hasn't made flowers on us in maybe three weeks. Anyone concerned?

[GovClintonTyree]

Not concerned. He does one thing very, very well. Predict .300 when the dust settles.

[Julio3000]

All of his batted-ball stats look so similar to last year's that it isn't a stretch to think so.

[The Chosen One]

hasn't made flowers on us in maybe three weeks. Anyone concerned?

[Hawk]

Apparently, this is the regression we were due for the entirety of last season.

[The Chosen One]

Apparently, this is the regression we were due for the entirety of last season.

Well one of the major compliments Bobby would receive is he'd get the most out of his players that weren't superstars.

I guess Fredi has done somewhat the same.

[Julio3000]

Apparently, this is the regression we were due for the entirety of last season.

He's just going to be the same free swingin' Johnson. Eventually those balls will start to drop again.

[gtcway]

He's just going to be the same free swingin' Johnson. Eventually those balls will start to drop again.

[sturg33]

Well one of the major compliments Bobby would receive is he'd get the most out of his players that weren't superstars.

I guess Fredi has done somewhat the same.

You're trying too hard for Fredi

[gilesfan]

Is anyone actually surprised by this?

[Julio3000]

Is anyone actually surprised by this?

(I can't resist kicking Fredi around, but I actually think he's done a really solid job this year. I mean, there are some obvious head-scratchers, but that is always going to be the case. It's tough to argue with the results.)

[nsacpi]

We are a little thin at third. And the baseball gods tend to test teams where they are most vulnerable.

If Johnson got hurt or regressed severely, presumably the first replacement would be Pena (perhaps in a platoon with Pastornicky). Not a great alternative, but not awful either.

Beyond that none of the guys we have playing third in AAA and AA (Salcedo, Kubitza, Leonard) look like they are close to being ready. Nor do we have someone in the upper minors who could plausibly be moved from another position to fill in at third.

[jpx7]

There's always Chase Headley as a buy-low candidate.

[Ducks.]

[thethe]

There's always Chase Headley as a buy-low candidate.

[Ducks.]

I'd do of now because people aren't crazy about his value anymore.

[Dalyn]

Johnson will be fine. It is a long season.

[Tapate50]

I'd do of now because people aren't crazy about his value anymore.

With good reason. He wouldn't do us much good in his current state.

[holden]

Don't worry. He probably just needs to shake off the Rust.

[zitothebrave]

Well to compare his stats to last year

BB rate down from 5.3% to 3.3%

K rate up from 21.2% to 26.1%

iso down from .136 to .103

LD% down slightly from 27.0% to 26.6%

GB% down from 45.5% to 39.1%

FB% up from 27.5% to 34.4%

of course meaning a massive drop in HR/FB from 10.9% to 4.5%

most of those stats should move better like HR/FB has never been that low. But his K% being up and BB% being down coupled with more flyballs and less groundballs means he's gonna for sure have a lower average than last year. even if you give him a .400 BABIP he'd be below 300 with his absent so far power and high K rate.