Page 9 of 29 FirstFirst ... 789101119 ... LastLast
Results 161 to 180 of 570

Thread: Braves Acquire Matt Adams From Cardinals

  1. #161
    It's OVER 5,000! Tapate50's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    24,435
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    9,087
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5,709
    Thanked in
    3,896 Posts
    Market for top pitching higher or lower than position players? Also- what is more market efficient paying position players or pitchers on free agency deals?
    Ivermectin Man

  2. #162
    10 yr, $185 million Extension
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    4,760
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    4
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    981
    Thanked in
    766 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    I realize the posi-Braves don't want to hear it, but since 2011 the Braves have produced the following SPs:

    Teheran - 13.1 WAR, may be declining already
    Alex Wood - 9.0 WAR, injury plagued career that is likely to continue similarly
    Folty - 0.2 WAR, hoping for much more

    Shall I list the failed SP prospects in that time frame?

    The group of Folty, Wisler, Blair and Jenkins likely only yielded Folty as a legit SP. Prior to that, the group of Teheran, Delgado and Viz yielded only Teheran.

    The Braves will be lucky to get 1-2 legit SPs from this Gohara, Allard, Anderson and Soroka group. They will likely get 1-2 more SPs from the lower tier Sims, Newcomb, Fried, Touki, Weigel, Wentz, Muller group. That's not enough SPs to be dealing prospects.

    I know, I know, this group is different. Except that it probably isn't, just like none of the other groups before them was different. Gohara has already been shut down for his 2nd arm related injury, so the likelihood of him even reaching the majors is a stretch.
    I don't get this argument

    The braves agree. They are buying in bulk bc they are saying it's likely they will only really hit on a couple. Maybe some become innings eaters. Maybe a reliever or two.

    They have to get them. Develop them. Trade the right ones and keep the right ones. Keep them healthy

    Predicting the future is hard

  3. #163
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    26,449
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    34
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    10,025
    Thanked in
    6,128 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Russ2dollas View Post
    I don't get this argument

    The braves agree. They are buying in bulk bc they are saying it's likely they will only really hit on a couple. Maybe some become innings eaters. Maybe a reliever or two.

    They have to get them. Develop them. Trade the right ones and keep the right ones. Keep them healthy

    Predicting the future is hard
    The argument was that the Braves should trade excess pitching prospects for MLB talent when they want to contend. I stated the Braves aren't likely to produce enough legit SPs at the MLB level to allow them to trade away any prospects.

    The discussion then took a turn that shows the Braves are bad at "trading the right ones", considering the best 2 pitchers the Braves have produced since 1995 (Schimdt and Wainwright) were traded away.

  4. #164
    Sabermetric Slut
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    Your Mom's Basement
    Posts
    29,810
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,724
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,765
    Thanked in
    5,854 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Tapate50 View Post
    Market for top pitching higher or lower than position players? Also- what is more market efficient paying position players or pitchers on free agency deals?
    The bigger question is how many holes do you have to fill at the MLB level with a farm system that is pitching heavy compared to one that is position player heavy.

  5. #165
    10 yr, $185 million Extension
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    4,760
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    4
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    981
    Thanked in
    766 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    The argument was that the Braves should trade excess pitching prospects for MLB talent when they want to contend. I stated the Braves aren't likely to produce enough legit SPs at the MLB level to allow them to trade away any prospects.

    The discussion then took a turn that shows the Braves are bad at "trading the right ones", considering the best 2 pitchers the Braves have produced since 1995 (Schimdt and Wainwright) were traded away.
    You can't just use cumulative war. That's like letting ppl in the Hoffa they got 500 hrs. Even if it took 25 yrs. Bruce Chen would be one that got away with that logic

    Tehran minor medlen Hanson beach were all better than Schmidt. Wainwright we goofed. The hof gm goofed. He hit on more than he goofed.

    With pitchers some of these guys are going to burn bright and burn out.

  6. #166
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    26,449
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    34
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    10,025
    Thanked in
    6,128 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Russ2dollas View Post
    You can't just use cumulative war. That's like letting ppl in the Hoffa they got 500 hrs. Even if it took 25 yrs. Bruce Chen would be one that got away with that logic

    Tehran minor medlen Hanson beach were all better than Schmidt. Wainwright we goofed. The hof gm goofed. He hit on more than he goofed.

    With pitchers some of these guys are going to burn bright and burn out.
    Huh? Bruce Chen? The guy that produced 10.2 total WAR? Chen is yet another data point saying pitching prospects rarely pan out.

    Are you honestly trying to say all those guys are better than Jason Schimdt? The guy who posted 31.8 career WAR, and finished Top 5 in Cy Young voting twice? Those pitchers "burned bright" compared to Schmidt's 2004 and 2005 seasons? Do you even know who Jason Schimdt is?

    I think you are the only person on the planet who thinks any of those pitchers are better than Jason Schimdt.

  7. #167
    Sabermetric Slut
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    Your Mom's Basement
    Posts
    29,810
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,724
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,765
    Thanked in
    5,854 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Russ2dollas View Post
    You can't just use cumulative war. That's like letting ppl in the Hoffa they got 500 hrs. Even if it took 25 yrs. Bruce Chen would be one that got away with that logic

    Tehran minor medlen Hanson beach were all better than Schmidt. Wainwright we goofed. The hof gm goofed. He hit on more than he goofed.

    With pitchers some of these guys are going to burn bright and burn out.
    You mean like Craig Biggio and Eddie Murray? There are plenty of people that got in the HOF by constantly being good and occasionally great.

  8. #168
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    7,778
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    270
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,492
    Thanked in
    1,151 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    OK, let's add in guys before Teheran. Let's include Medlen, Beachy, Minor and Hanson (though that's going pretty far back).

    Medlen (2009) - 8.8 WAR, trying to come back from numerous injuries in A ball
    Hanson (2009) - 6.8 WAR, peaked as BAs #4 prospect, and hasn't pitched since 2013
    Beachy (2010) - 3.1 WAR, hasn't pitched since 2015, all his production came over a 38 start stretch from 2011-2012
    Minor (2010) - 4.7 WAR, currently a good BP arm in KC

    I'm not sure how that group of guys foretells any better success than the guys I originally listed. I wouldn't consider any of them to be a success story by any means, and I don't think anyone would be happy if the best production we see from the Allard/Gohara/Soroka/Anderson group is one of those guys.

    This fallacy that the Braves are some sort of pitcher factory is, quite simply, not true.

    Ironically enough, the best pitcher from the Braves system since the HOF Trio was traded away to the Cardinals. Wainwright has produced 34.8 WAR for the Cards...all for a single season of JD Drew.
    I don't think anyone has suggested that the Braves were a recent pitching factory.

    They've made a concerted effort beginning two years ago to acquire some pitching talent. It might take awhile for that to realize itself. Glavine was drafted in 1984. Smoltz acquired by trade in 1987. Avery was drafted #3 in 1988. Merker #5 in 1988. Pete Smith was a prospect traded for in 1987. Leibrandt acquired by trade in 1989.

    The Braves were a last place team in 1990 before starting the run the following season.

    It's likely going to take awhile for it work.

    I think the Braves, rather than saying that they are outstanding at developing pitching, have said that they believe pitching is the way to build teams and that it takes volume to do that.

    But in reality, the Braves run was also fueled by the likes of Chipper Jones, Andruw Jones, Rafael Furcal, Javy Lopez, David Justice, Ron Gant, Ryan Klesko, Blauser, Lemke, and others. Honestly, the Braves arguably were better at identifying hitters.

    Didn't hurt they carried a large payroll during the meat of the run.

    In the end 15-20 years of contending eventually required a reset. This is it. Hopefully, it won't be too long.

  9. #169
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    26,449
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    34
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    10,025
    Thanked in
    6,128 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Southcack77 View Post
    I don't think anyone has suggested that the Braves were a recent pitching factory.

    They've made a concerted effort beginning two years ago to acquire some pitching talent. It might take awhile for that to realize itself. Glavine was drafted in 1984. Smoltz acquired by trade in 1987. Avery was drafted #3 in 1988. Merker #5 in 1988. Pete Smith was a prospect traded for in 1987. Leibrandt acquired by trade in 1989.

    The Braves were a last place team in 1990 before starting the run the following season.

    It's likely going to take awhile for it work.

    I think the Braves, rather than saying that they are outstanding at developing pitching, have said that they believe pitching is the way to build teams and that it takes volume to do that.

    But in reality, the Braves run was also fueled by the likes of Chipper Jones, Andruw Jones, Rafael Furcal, Javy Lopez, David Justice, Ron Gant, Ryan Klesko, Blauser, Lemke, and others. Honestly, the Braves arguably were better at identifying hitters.

    Didn't hurt they carried a large payroll during the meat of the run.

    In the end 15-20 years of contending eventually required a reset. This is it. Hopefully, it won't be too long.
    People don't think the Braves are a pitcher factory?

    Please explain to me what the phrase "back to the Braves Way" meant, and why the FO used the phrase when describing all the pitching talent they have amassed.

  10. #170
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    7,778
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    270
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,492
    Thanked in
    1,151 Posts
    I'd also point out that the Braves really didn't produce a volume of star pitching. It was for the most part, Smoltz and Glavine and a fourth or fifth starter if one happened to be needed.

    It's not likely to work out the same way, but that is also why it was so ridiculous the braves went a decade and a half in contention.

  11. #171
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    7,778
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    270
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,492
    Thanked in
    1,151 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    People don't think the Braves are a pitcher factory?

    Please explain to me what the phrase "back to the Braves Way" meant, and why the FO used the phrase when describing all the pitching talent they have amassed.

    I took it to mean winning baseball with strong starting pitching and a minor league organization that constantly promoted young talent capable of helping a winning ball club.

    I think they used "back to the Braves way" as distinguishing from drafting to immediate major league roster needs and gutting the system to pursue win now trades.

    Whether the Braves organization can really claim to have been better than that in the end of the JS era is another story.

    I just think they mean the period in the early to late 90s when the system was popping out Glavine, Smoltz, Avery, Justice, Gant, Blauser, Lemke, Chipper, Lopez, Andruw, Furcal, Giles, Dye, etc, and high enough profile prospects to trade for other things.

    Honestly, while they did produce their share of decent pitching after 1992, I'm not sure it was anything particularly special. But the farm system itself was pretty strong during that period and that had something to do with high draft picks and trades and also some pretty good scouting at times of hitters and pitchers.

  12. #172
    10 yr, $185 million Extension
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    4,760
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    4
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    981
    Thanked in
    766 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    You mean like Craig Biggio and Eddie Murray? There are plenty of people that got in the HOF by constantly being good and occasionally great.
    Yes. I don't think they belong in the hof

  13. #173
    Sabermetric Slut
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    Your Mom's Basement
    Posts
    29,810
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,724
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,765
    Thanked in
    5,854 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Russ2dollas View Post
    Yes. I don't think they belong in the hof
    I respect those that prefer a small hall. Still, those two plus many others have set a precedent that being good and occasionally great for 20 years or so will get you into cooperstown. I do think cumulative WAR works in this instance even if it's spread out over many years. Being able to play stay in MLB for a decade or so even as a role player does have value.

  14. #174
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    11,468
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    2,405
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    2,757
    Thanked in
    1,985 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    The bigger question is how many holes do you have to fill at the MLB level with a farm system that is pitching heavy compared to one that is position player heavy.
    Wood could have filled a big hole....

  15. #175
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    7,778
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    270
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,492
    Thanked in
    1,151 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    I respect those that prefer a small hall. Still, those two plus many others have set a precedent that being good and occasionally great for 20 years or so will get you into cooperstown. I do think cumulative WAR works in this instance even if it's spread out over many years. Being able to play stay in MLB for a decade or so even as a role player does have value.
    Not so unusual among pitchers in the HOF either.

    Some would point at Glavine, but Sutton is one.

  16. #176
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Feb 2015
    Posts
    6,431
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    173
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,579
    Thanked in
    1,044 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    And if Mark Prior and Kerry Wood don't break down, the Cubs might have won a WS a decade earlier.

    And if the Mets hadn't suffered so many injuries to their exceptional staff, they would be playoff contenders today.

    If, if, if. This is what happens with pitchers, and is why teams like the Astros, Dodgers, Cubs , and now Yankees have been building around position players.
    Well, we're 'building around pitching' and our young position prospects are just as good as a team like the Dodgers or Yankees. So sweet.

  17. #177
    Shift Leader thethe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    69,587
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    5,511
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5,180
    Thanked in
    3,899 Posts
    Back to Matt Adams.....great trade!!!

  18. #178
    10 yr, $185 million Extension
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    4,760
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    4
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    981
    Thanked in
    766 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    I respect those that prefer a small hall. Still, those two plus many others have set a precedent that being good and occasionally great for 20 years or so will get you into cooperstown. I do think cumulative WAR works in this instance even if it's spread out over many years. Being able to play stay in MLB for a decade or so even as a role player does have value.
    Great value. Not hof for me

    5 war for ten years over 3 war for 20 is ok by me

  19. #179
    Sabermetric Slut
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    Your Mom's Basement
    Posts
    29,810
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    1,724
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    8,765
    Thanked in
    5,854 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Southcack77 View Post
    Not so unusual among pitchers in the HOF either.

    Some would point at Glavine, but Sutton is one.
    True as well.

  20. #180
    It's OVER 5,000!
    Join Date
    Feb 2015
    Posts
    6,431
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    173
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,579
    Thanked in
    1,044 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Russ2dollas View Post
    Great value. Not hof for me

    5 war for ten years over 3 war for 20 is ok by me
    I agree. You can admire a player and be impressed by what they've done and still not believe it is worthy of the HOF. But at this point the baseball HOF has been watered down, so that battle has been lost.

Similar Threads

  1. Lane Adams
    By CrimsonCowboy in forum 2024: The Campaign to Re-Elect Snit for Four More Years and Make Atlanta Great Again!
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 05-05-2018, 12:51 AM
  2. Lane Adams
    By TheBravos in forum 2024: The Campaign to Re-Elect Snit for Four More Years and Make Atlanta Great Again!
    Replies: 37
    Last Post: 01-10-2018, 03:40 PM
  3. Possible Takers for Adams
    By nsacpi in forum 2024: The Campaign to Re-Elect Snit for Four More Years and Make Atlanta Great Again!
    Replies: 39
    Last Post: 11-29-2017, 08:48 PM
  4. Welcome to MLB Lane Adams...
    By Braves1976 in forum 2024: The Campaign to Re-Elect Snit for Four More Years and Make Atlanta Great Again!
    Replies: 12
    Last Post: 04-26-2017, 03:08 PM
  5. Braves sign Matt Capps
    By BRule in forum 2024: The Campaign to Re-Elect Snit for Four More Years and Make Atlanta Great Again!
    Replies: 15
    Last Post: 02-10-2015, 05:53 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •