Well Maybin's BB rate is higher this year than at any point in his career. And he walked more in April and May then he has in June. So just going by that then the opposite has been true. Teams would rather walk Maybin to face Freddie. Now that Freddie is out they aren't walking him anymore.
The real truth is likely neither is true. Protection is overrated. The idea that a hitter will see more fastballs because they don't want to walk someone to face the hitter behind them is dumb imo. Because the more fastballs you see the better chances are that hitter will get a hit which is the opposite of what you would want to happen. Don't want to face a team's best hitter with someone on base. Get those players in front of them out. And that usually invovles not throwing them a ton of fastballs.
I doubt they would trade him either, but with the money they spend they are in a different mindset than most franchises, you never know if they might value having a #1 type starter as their #3 to give them that world series push. I would imagine they would have Olivera at 2nd next year after spending the money on him, but who knows. But yeah, short term they could have Seager at SS.
Comparing by level:
In Low A at age 19 Peraza had an ISO of .083. At age 20 Prado was at .107.
In High A at age 20 Peraza had an ISO of .113. At age 21 Prado was at .104.
In AA at age 20 Peraza had an ISO of .086. At age 21 Prado was at .084 (this was his first tour in AA). Next season at 22 his ISO in AA was .074.
In AAA at age 21 Peraza so far has an ISO of .078. In his first tour in AAA at age 22 Prado was at .083.
Prado did tend to hit more extra base hits, but Peraza's mix has more triples relative to doubles.
The ingredients baked into those ISO's are entirely different. Prado was never much a speedster, so his extra base hits were true gappers. Peraza likely gets a lot of his extra base hits via his speed.
I don't think it's fair to project a similar power increase for Peraza that Prado had in the big leagues.
My point was more the difference in doubles (though Peraza did do much better in that regard last year). Even though Prado was only a 4-5 HR type a guy he was hitting 20-25 doubles from the start in the minors. And gapper doubles can easily turn into HRs with more strength, triples typically don't turn into HRs with more strength, those are more a target of positioning and speed. While their ISO may be similar, the HR potential is not quite the same I don't think. Honestly I see a good Prado comparison with Jace, not so much with Peraza. The only player I can think of right offhand that kind of made the transition from a 2 HR guy to a 10 HR for a stretch was Kenny Lofton, and he of course played in a much more HR friendly offensive era.
thethe (06-28-2015)
cajunrevenge (06-29-2015), JohnAdcox (06-28-2015)
I actually agree with this sentiment. First and foremost, it's important that we don't have bad players.
But that doesn't mean we shouldn't try to improve. We need good hitters and I don't particularly care how they are good hitters. However, it is easier to find good hitters that hit for power than it is to find players that hit .330.
I think Hart will bring a couple of hitters outside of the organization when the time is right. We were sold a bill of goods that the team would be competitive by 2017. It's unfair to assume that we would have all the pieces in place two years ahead of time.
thethe (06-28-2015)
The funny thing is, you missed the guy I like the most going forward - Rendon. I know he's playing 2B now, which is why I assume you didn't include him, but he's a 3B and should be playing there. He's definitely above-average defensively there and at best average at 2B. The Nats just have no other good 2B options right now.
Power may be a little lower than in the past, but 20 HRs is still very much what it used to be. The Royals getting hot at the wrong time and getting lucky as hell really doesn't change that. They were 9th in the AL in runs last year, they were not a good offense. Even then, they had three guys with 15 or more HRs. Nobody is saying we have to have three 30 HR hitters to be successful, but you need an overall decent level of pop to have a good offense.
Julio3000 (06-28-2015)
Yeah, agreed. And, fwiw, those 85 Cardinals only had one big power stick, but they had 3-4 other guys with double-digit HR power (McGee hit 10 that year, plus Van Slyke, Porter, plus Cesar Cedeno and Tito Landrum on the bench). Fun fact—they had more guys slug over .400 than last year's all-or-nothing Braves.
You can win a World Series with a roster without homerun hitters.
It's just a lot easier if you have them.
I don't understand why anyone would argue the contrary.