The NOT August 12 2017 Gamethread

[Super]

Winning the division and winning the World Series are not the same. If the gNats sneak in the playoffs they become more dangerous with a bona fide ace in short series.

yes this has taken them a long way in years prior

[Southcack77]

Nats have wasted another week to make their move and one of their best chances to make up ground against Braves.

I still fear them getting their rotation and lineup back into place and going on a streak that will ruin someone's season.

I still think it is entirely possible they finish ahead of either the Braves or Phillies and still will not be shocked if they win the division. But I feel like that's a good bit less likely than a week ago and said I would bet on the former.

[Enscheff]

The Braves have 47 games remaining, and the Nats have 44 games remaining.

If the Braves play sub-500 ball and go 23-24 from here on out, they will finish with 87 wins.

Just to tie the Braves in that scenario, the Nats have to go 27-17, which is a .613 winning percentage and 99+ win pace.

Sorry, but I don't find it very likely that the Braves play losing baseball over the next 47 games, and I don't see the Nats playing at a 100 win pace, much less both occurring simultaneously.

When we hit Sept 20th I fully expect both the Phils and Braves to be mathematically within striking distance of each other, and the NL East crown will come down to one of them handling business.

[Southcack77]

The Braves have 47 games remaining, and the Nats have 44 games remaining.

If the Braves play sub-500 ball and go 23-24 from here on out, they will finish with 87 wins.

Just to tie the Braves in that scenario, the Nats have to go 27-17, which is a .613 winning percentage and 99+ win pace.

Sorry, but I don't find it very likely that the Braves play losing baseball over the next 47 games, and I don't see the Nats playing at a 100 win pace, much less both occurring simultaneously.

When we hit Sept 20th I fully expect both the Phils and Braves to be mathematically within striking distance of each other, and the NL East crown will come down to one of them handling business.

99 win pace is just slightly better than you expect out of a healthy Nats team coming into the season.

But I thought the Braves would lose a couple of games in the standings to them last week.

They can still deal some damage to the Phillies.

[Enscheff]

99 win pace is just slightly better than you expect out of a healthy Nats team coming into the season.

But I thought the Braves would lose a couple of games in the standings to them last week.

They can still deal some damage to the Phillies.

Huh? The Phils are tied with the Braves.

Everything I said about the Braves is directly applicable to the Phils as well.

[Southcack77]

Huh? The Phils are tied with the Braves.

Everything I said about the Braves is directly applicable to the Phils as well.

They have 9 head to head chances vs Phillies left as opposed to 3 vs Braves. That's all I'm saying.

[smootness]

The Braves are in a great spot. They are exactly where their run differential says they should be, which is about a 90-91 win team. That is a playoff team, and this year, that is probably the NL East champion.

The Phillies still seem to be playing above their heads a bit, so there is a pretty good chance the Braves stay where they are and the Phillies slide a little. Even if the Nats make a run, it'll have to be a really good one to catch Atlanta.

So, basically, everything Enscheff just said. You're welcome.

[The Chosen One]

The Braves are in a great spot. They are exactly where their run differential says they should be, which is about a 90-91 win team. That is a playoff team, and this year, that is probably the NL East champion.

The Phillies still seem to be playing above their heads a bit, so there is a pretty good chance the Braves stay where they are and the Phillies slide a little. Even if the Nats make a run, it'll have to be a really good one to catch Atlanta.

So, basically, everything Enscheff just said. You're welcome.

Intellibraves fans already knew this.

[NinersSBChamps]

Five Thirty Eight has both the Braves and Phillies at 45% to win the division. 10% for the Nats. They done.

Yep because they are never wrong..

[Super]

Yep because they are never wrong..

who said such a thing? what’s even the point of your post? they aren’ predicting anything, it’s odds; just like vegas has. not that tough a concept to grasp.

[CyYoung31]

who said such a thing? what’s even the point of your post?

Welcome to Niners Land, where everything is made up and the posts don’t matter.

[NinersSBChamps]

who said such a thing? what’s even the point of your post? they aren’ predicting anything, it’s odds; just like vegas has. not that tough a concept to grasp.

Same outlet claimed Hillary was a lock to win election too. Not shocking because they are chalk full of libtards.

[Super]

Same outlet claimed Hillary was a lock to win election too. Not shocking because they are chalk full of libtards.

totally man