Are we sure Demeritte is not on this list? AFL performance was pretty notable.
Are we sure Demeritte is not on this list? AFL performance was pretty notable.
Hudson2 (01-25-2017)
Yeah, I don't see any way Demeritte is higher than guys like Fried, Anderson, Maitan, Newcomb, etc. I think he's about 12-15 in our system right now.
I really don't think its that confusing; he walked 71 in 140 innings as a 22 year-old in AA.
I like a lot about Newcomb, the strikeouts, how he finished the season, the stuff but he does need to get his walks lower and even then; its not like Law is killing the guy - he still has him as a top-100 prospect.
Its an interesting list; I would have Maitan lower, I don't know if either is on the list but I prefer Soroka > Touki (I imagine neither make it).
Agree that he's not killing him.
I think thethe's point is that:
1. 22 is not that old for AA....What is the avg age, 22-23?
2. He's a big guy and they tend to take longer
3. He's a lefty and they tend to take longer
4. He's a cold weather guy with less innings and they tend to take longer
5. He's a combo of 2-4.
walking 4-5 per 9 is not good.
I don't watch those games. I don't know if he's got bad umps or he's throwing it to the backstop. I don't know if guys are going deep into counts with him b/c they can't hit him and are just trying to work walks. I don't know anything.
But Go Hard being before him is confusing. Go Hard seems to be the same guy just younger and with a rumored shoulder issue. I know younger is often better on these lists but he's also been at lower levels of the minors.
Newcomb's walks tended to come in bunches. He'd just lose his release point and not be able to hit anything.
I can understand KLaw saying he doesn't see any obvious changes because when Newcomb is repeating his delivery with a consistent release point, he's fine. His motion is simple and smooth. There's nothing you'd want to change. It's just getting his mechanics and release point consistent. That takes reps.
IIRC Klaw called him a flawed prospect. Said that we did great to get him for nothing but the K rate was a big time concern. That was before AFL.
Klaw does prefer upside. And he loves to stick it to Dave Stewart. So I can see Touki up there. Touki did great late, but that could be turning a corner or SSS.
I like both, but I'm higher on Soroka. I just think Soroka's floor is an avg starting pitcher in MLB. And I think he could be really good pitcher, especially if by the time he gets up we have defenders closer to Ender, Swanson, Albies than Kemp and Garcia.
Sometimes I play resident expert and I'm not. MY EYEBALL...the post above is almost spot on. However, I'm a NEWK fan through and through. I didn't see anybody including Allard, Soroka, Wiegel last year that had consistent "you can't hit me stuff" more than Newk. I'm serious. The walks are notable and you can't ignore them. However, when batters did touch the ball when he threw strikes, their contact was weak. Very weak. IF he figures it out, the conversation is much different.
I saw Rome a lot last year. And I saw MS a few times. I think Newk is suffering from prospect fatigue and the walks. If it weren't for that, he'd be our top lefty with an argument for Allard.
I still find it very fun that these are the conversations we're having about what is likely our 10th ranked prospect on a national list.
That's the thing. Outside of watching him pitch the analysis is pretty easy for me. What's his size and are guys getting hits off of him. His batting average against indicates that guys just can't barrel up the ball on him at all.
It's a great indicator of future success in my opinion.
Natural Immunity Croc
Remember Blair was top 40 last year on this list and Jenkins made the just missed list.
Also Ellis and Sims were both top 100 at some point for Law. It's not a guarantee of any future value.
Just re-read Klaw's last year's list (Touki on it at 80) and it's amazing Blair then vs Blair now.
Last edited by Russ2dollas; 01-25-2017 at 01:56 PM.
One game does not a turnaround make, but I watched with awe Aaron Blair's final start against as desperate Detroit team that was not yet eliminated from the playoffs. Blair's line: 6 innings, 4 hits, 2 runs, 1 walk, 10 (count 'em) strikeouts. Despite the big strikeout total, he threw only 85 pitches.
Tapate50 (01-25-2017)