2024 Field

[Garmel]

I think this pick likely results in RFK Jr pulling more from Biden than Trump…

Pretty much.

[thethe]

Have to do whatever it takes to make sure RFK is on the ballot in every single state.

[sturg33]

Pretty big shift in a month

[Tapate50]

Pretty much.

I believe there was a report that team Biden was scrambling to start a campaign vs RFK immediately.

Seems like in scramble mode

[thethe]

Pretty big shift in a month

I'm eager to see you psoting these when it goes back in the other direction....

[sturg33]

I'm eager to see you psoting these when it goes back in the other direction....

I usually can't beat you to the punch. 90% of polls I see are from you

[thethe]

Here is a more likely one as third parties will be listed in quite of a few of these states.

Don't be too upset now...

[sturg33]

I might have to cry!

[Garmel]

Biden got a bump after the SOTU. Not sure how long it will last.

[thethe]

Biden got a bump after the SOTU. Not sure how long it will last.

I don't think its that - All of these polls have MOE's of +/- 3 points about.

This is just normal movement. Trendlines are much more imporatnt than individual polls.

[Carp]

I will go on the record right now and say Biden will not win re-election with an approval rating hovering around 40%. He's going to need it to climb to at least 45-46% to even have a shot. No incumbent has won re-election with an approval rating below 48% leading up to the election. If the election was held today, Biden wouldn't even crack 220 electoral vote.

[nsacpi]

I think this pick likely results in RFK Jr pulling more from Biden than Trump…

Eh

[sturg33]

I don't think its that - All of these polls have MOE's of +/- 3 points about.

This is just normal movement. Trendlines are much more imporatnt than individual polls.

RCP average had Trump +4.3 at start of Feb, today its Trump 1.6

[thethe]

RCP average had Trump +4.3 at start of Feb, today its Trump 1.6

Not according to this:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/pol...trump-vs-biden

Where are you getting your figures from?

[sturg33]

Not according to this:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/pol...trump-vs-biden

Where are you getting your figures from?

Jan 27th, the margin was 4.3

[Carp]

This was from February: https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-c...ection-1869015


FWIW, they have been the most accurate pollster over the last several presidential elections.

[msstate7]

If Biden wins, wonder who Trump runs against in 2028

[thethe]

Jan 27th, the margin was 4.3

You are absoultely damaged and hysterial.

Lets go further back - Since Jan 10th TRUMP HAS GROWN HIS LEAD!

I can't get over how infected you've become.

[sturg33]

You are absoultely damaged and hysterial.

Lets go further back - Since Jan 10th TRUMP HAS GROWN HIS LEAD!

I can't get over how infected you've become.

What on earth?

You asked to look at trends and I pointed out his lead has shrunk the last two months

[thethe]

What on earth?

You asked to look at trends and I pointed out his lead has shrunk the last two months

You picked an arbitrary end point to push a narrative. Everyone knows what you did. You know what you did.

In what it is. TDS is ugly.