Ivan once again does a good job describing the horrid luck that's been biting the Braves:
https://www.talkingchop.com/2021/5/1...-this-game-man
The Braves hit the ball so well last night they "should have had" a .403 BA. The Mets hit the ball poorly and "should have had" a .175 BA. And yet...it was a nail biter of a game.
"A .402 xBA is, frankly, insane. (Also, I think the .402 was before Acuña’s homer; I’m not sure Baseball Savant actually updated after the game ended. No matter.) There has literally been one game so far this season (other than this one) where a team compiled an xBA over .400, and it was .403. In that game, the Astros scored 10 runs. In this game, the Braves scored five runs, trailed multiple times, didn’t score until the fifth, and had a win probability as low as 25 percent at one point."
This game was a microcosm of the Braves early season struggles. It's really hard to wrap the mind around it.
I also thought this was funny since you guys all complained about the move in this thread as it was happening:
"Chris Martin, who does apparently exist, despite not being asked to put out the fire in the seventh, threw a quick 1-2-3 eighth. "