Most players have their best years from age 27-29 and Riley has grown a ton over the years so far. I would bet he has a monster year in the next 3 years even if its a career year he doesnt reach again.
Most players have their best years from age 27-29 and Riley has grown a ton over the years so far. I would bet he has a monster year in the next 3 years even if its a career year he doesnt reach again.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.
Those are very nice vague predictions. Where do you think the extra power is going to come from that leads to the .600 SLG? Higher FB rate? Higher exit velocities? More contact? A fluky HR/FB rate for a season?
Or is the prediction just "monster year because I'm a fan of Riley"?
jpx7 (01-26-2024)
It happens, and fluky full season BABIP or HR/FB rate is how guys typically win an MVP.
Freeman won his MVP with a .366 BABIP, and almost won another last year with a .370 BABIP.
It's entirely possible Riley pairs his .368 BABIP from 2021 with an equally fluky 25% HR/FB rate and posts a .310/.375/.600 season, but that's not how projections work. Predicting those types of seasons is how fans work though.
jpx7 (01-26-2024)
Buzz Killington reporting for duty as always
Ivermectin Man
Never said you did.
I’m responding in general to the narrative “these projections feel light because I think Riley is going to have a monster season for no reason other than I feel like he will have a fluky rate stat in the next 3 years”.
I apologize if this offends anyone.
Spring training better hurry the hell up….
I base it on him entering his physical prime. Most players have a career year from ages 27-29. That's a statistical fact. Doesn't mean it's guaranteed but it's good odds. Riley has put in work to improve his physical condition so I don't think he has physically peaked. I see a combination of a good BABIP season with some good HR/FBI luck. Like his 2021 season with 45 HR and 90 XBH total.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.