The literal police are driving around in cop cars, not correcting the internet.
Explain to me the flaws in rWAR. The guys I listed are arguable, yes. Hudson is not. Claiming that Reed is anywhere near Hudson is crazy.
The literal police are driving around in cop cars, not correcting the internet.
Explain to me the flaws in rWAR. The guys I listed are arguable, yes. Hudson is not. Claiming that Reed is anywhere near Hudson is crazy.
BUCK UP KIDDO, WE ALL LOVE YOU THETHE
I hate you sometimes
As far as flaws. First off how it attempts to adjust for team defense. FIP does it much cleaner. Second has to do that it's run based. Run based can be extremely lucky. For example I think pretty much anyone would tell you that Jeff Locke isn't on par with Shelby Miller but rWAR says they are. While it's true that in general luck shakes itself out over a large sample, it's not always the case.
FIP doesn't consider team defense at all. It is by definition "Fielding Independent."
What about the way rWAR adjusts for defense is flawed?
That's a great reason to not use rWAR as a predictive stat. But that's doesn't affect it's value as record of actual performance, which is what WAR is supposed to do.
Also, "lucky" is a misleading description. It assumes to much. What a big FIP delta means is not that a pitcher is lucky, but that his performance is likely unsustainable. Unsustainable and lucky are not the same thing.
I wouldn't say they'll be the same going forward (the league will adjust to Locke), but I'd absolutely say that Jeff Locke has been as valuable for his team this year as Miller.
Because Total Zone is hardly the most accurate way for measuring defense. Sure it's the best we have for that period, but there's a reason no one uses it since UZR and DRS came around. So yeah that's a problem with it. And the being Fielding Independent was clearly what I was talking about. Stop being obtuse
It's not just about predictive values, and so on so forth.
Why? I get what you're saying but it isn't true.