Bryce isn't necessarily wrong, but he mentions us and our 9 games. Right now that 9 games wouldn't even do it, and the Nats haven't played that well against us this year. In fact, they looked literally shocked that we handed it to them.
He needs to be focused on the game being played on the current day. The Tigers just whooped up on them pretty good, perhaps those games should matter as much.
Mrs. Meta (08-01-2013)
All we really have to do is not get swept. That would put us at 3-6, so the fat lady is gargling.
Mrs. Meta (08-01-2013)
LOL @ Bryce Harper
Shut up. Your overrated team is 11 games back and the Braves are actually just now getting back to playing great baseball. Is anything wrong with these comments? No, but he should just shut up and play.
Thats the thing...outside of the first 13 games of the year this is the only time the Braves have actually played good baseball. Pitching/Offense/Defense all working at the same time. Its just incredible to watch. Heyward/Upton at the top of the lineup is really working. Hopefully BJ doesn't make us go limp or else Alex is going to have to step up.
Natural Immunity Croc
Buster Olney @Buster_ESPN 2h The Atlanta Braves' magic number for clinching the NL East is now down to 44. And it's Aug. 1.
The team has played .500ish ball for most of the year but they did go 15-4 in late May/early June. They took 6 of 7 in late June too. The Braves longest losing streak is 4. So while they haven't always played great and have had long strethes of .500 ball they haven't had any extended losing streaks. And that's the important thing. The Nats have had several including the big one to start the 2nd half. The Phillies just came off of losing 8 in a row. Thus we have an 11 game lead. Winning record every month so far. Keep this up and we very well may have the top spot in the NL this year. Something we defininately need to gun for as I don't want to face the Dodgers in a 5 game series. They would be the toughest match up imo in the first round.
Yeah, essentially in baseball if you have 1 hot month, you can play .500 ball the rest of the way and win the division. You just have to avoid long losing streaks.
Look at Rays and Dodgers, 1 hot month and in first place.
If you really think that is true, consider these numbers. Teams play 162 games per season, I have always analysed a season based on 27 game blocks, because each one of them represents 1/6 of the season, they are each roughly one month's worth of games, and 27 games will pretty much balance things out like home/road splits and extreme hot/cold streaks which can bias a smaller sample.
That said, let's look at the 2013 Braves in 27 game blocks, since we just finished the fourth such block last night.
17-10 (102 win pace)
15-12 (90 win pace)
15-12 (90 win pace)
16-11 (96 win pace)
If you want to break it down into 54 game blocks it's:
32-22 (96 win pace)
31-23 (93 win pace)
IMHO, just pretty darn consistent, contrary to the popular opinions here and elsewhere.
Natural Immunity Croc
We are percentage points behind the #2 record in the NL and just swept the team with (at the time) best record in the NL. Yes, this team is playing extremely well.
Braves finally caught the Cards last night for the top offense in the league. We are now tied with them with a team WRC+ of 106. The Braves 8.0 UZR is sixth in the league (Thanks to Simmons and Heyward mainly). The Braves starters FIP is 6th in the league (5th in ERA if you prefer that). The Braves pen is 1st FIP and ERA as well. The team isn't very good at base running this year but that's the least important facet of the game.
So yeah, the Braves are either at the top in categories or above average. We are a great team. 3rd best run differential in baseball.
Last edited by thewupk; 08-01-2013 at 09:23 AM.