If you read all the sites, Herbert was taken in the strata where he was expected to be taken. Catcher has really become a premium defensive position, but everything I've read makes me think Herbert's bat will carry. And I take the draft sites with a grain of salt.
Jerry Crasnick
@jcrasnick
Austin Riley, 41st pick in MLB draft, agrees to a $1.6M deal with #Braves. Slot value was $1,506,400. MVP Sports client
He's the most interesting pick that we made on draft day. I know a lot of people hated the pick because of pre-draft rankings, but I actually like the idea behind drafting him. It was probably the highest ceiling, lowest floor pick that we made in the draft, but I don't mind taking a home run swing.
David O'Brien @DOBrienAJC
#Braves haven't announced it yet, but they've reached agreements with most of their top draft picks including all six from top 75.
I just don't see how we can make these assumptions. Nobody knows how many times other teams sent their area scouts to obswrve. He was picked there because the Braves felt he wouldn't last another round. They have more information than everyone aside from the 29 other organizations.
Natural Immunity Croc
No we don't know that, but even if that were true that some other team might possibly have taken him before some lower pick, who the hell cares? There were soooo many guys we could have taken that damn near everybody rated considerably higher than him. Are you saying we know better than everyone else in baseball?
As a Mississippi State fan, I can tell you this is not at all true. Most State fans thought he was coming to school even though he was our best signee. The Braves actually still had to go slightly over slot to get him to sign.
If we had drafted him later, we still would have had to pay him that much; otherwise, he was college bound.
You are relying on draft pundits whose source of scouting is attending games by the very cream of crop top 15 prospects and making phone calls to teams around the league about other players whilst scouting minor league players. This isn't the NBA or the NFL where film exists for every draft eligible player. The draft pundits, by their own admission, are limited in their ability to put together comprehensive lists. That's why you never see anybody put out draft grades in baseball.
I know it's lazy and cliche to say to trust the Braves scouts, but in baseball there isn't much else you can do.
Are you seriously saying you consider Keith Law/Jim Callis/Jonathon Mayo/the other draft pundits the brightest minds in baseball?
This kind of statement assumes that "damn near everybody" else's draft boards looked like those rankings. I have absolutely no clue whether they did or not, but that's an awfully wide brush you're painting with.
Has there EVER been a statement and question a certain someone should absolutely never have made and asked publicly more than...
Kinda pathetic to see yourself as a message board knight in shining armor. How impotent does someone have to be in real life to resort to playing hero on a message board?
I saw the best minds of baseball destroyed by draft boards, starving hysterical ranking, dragging themselves through the bonus-pool streets at dawn looking for a hungry scout Tommy-Johned pitchers burning for the ancient surgical connection to the starry dynamo in the machinery of the mound.
"For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."
50PoundHead (06-19-2015), clvclv (06-19-2015)
Guys - are we seriously gonna question this powerhouse FO?
I criticize it all the time.
But with respect to the draft, there are two points I would make. One is that it obviously takes years before you know who did well and who didn't. Second, to the extent you want to take certain types of players at certain points of the draft (high ceiling high school players in the first round for example), the FO followed "the book" in this draft. They did show a strong desire to get college arms in the middle rounds (4-10) but the data show that if there is a part of the draft where you should skew toward college arms, it is the middle rounds. I think they were a bit dogmatic in taking 7 consecutive college pitchers from round 4 to round 10, but that is quibbling.
I do have a question for thethe about the 2015 draft. If it turns out to be a poor draft, would it be because of the residual effects of the damage done to the organization by Wren and Manno.
Last edited by nsacpi; 06-19-2015 at 09:24 AM.