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Thread: Hurricane Joaquin

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    Hurricane Joaquin

    This one could be a big one for folks along the southeast coast, especially South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia. This is actually similar to Hurricane Sandy in that there is a tropical storm interacting with a deep trough. Could be a ton of rain more inland closer to the mountains. And there will be a very tight pressure gradient between a strong high pressure near the great lakes and the strong tropical low pressure. So we're looking at very high winds and a lot of rain. The saving grace is that the tidal surge likely won't be near as bad as it was in Sandy. But the risk for coastal and inland flooding and wind damage will be there.
    thank you weso1!

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    Yeah, figures.
    "Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe

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    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gilesfan View Post
    Yeah, figures.
    We have a bachelor party scheduled this weekend in OBX, NC... strongly considering postponing (driving from DC)

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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    We have a bachelor party scheduled this weekend in OBX, NC... strongly considering postponing (driving from DC)
    lol, best of luck with that. What part? If Hatteras, if you go down there, you may be stuck down there.
    "Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe

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    I hope everyone stays safe, but I am worried that these immigrants are now taking our Hurricane names.

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    Clique Leader weso1's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    We have a bachelor party scheduled this weekend in OBX, NC... strongly considering postponing (driving from DC)
    I would hold off on canceling for now. I would say the confidence in the long term track of this thing is unusually low. There are two scenarios with this one. One is that it slams into the Virginia, North Carolina or South Carolina coast possibly as a major hurricane moving west with a ton of rain on the north side of it. The second scenario is that it stalls in between the bahamas and US coast before slowly starting to slide NW out to sea. If it's the second scenario you'll be fine and maybe should bring your surf board.
    thank you weso1!

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    I <3 Ron Paul + gilesfan sturg33's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by weso1 View Post
    I would hold off on canceling for now. I would say the confidence in the long term track of this thing is unusually low. There are two scenarios with this one. One is that it slams into the Virginia, North Carolina or South Carolina coast possibly as a major hurricane moving west with a ton of rain on the north side of it. The second scenario is that it stalls in between the bahamas and US coast before slowly starting to slide NW out to sea. If it's the second scenario you'll be fine and maybe should bring your surf board.
    It's basically decision time for us. Gotta decide tonight, as many are traveling down tomorrow. We were much more close to cancelling 3 hours ago then we are now... but we just don't want to get stuck down there or have a miserable commute either way

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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    It's basically decision time for us. Gotta decide tonight, as many are traveling down tomorrow. We were much more close to cancelling 3 hours ago then we are now... but we just don't want to get stuck down there or have a miserable commute either way
    Just go down and enjoy it. Worst case you get stuck down there for a couple days and you just get drunk and party. Whats the downside? Being stranded?

    Unless it's evacuated; which has happened to me. (but I go some great surf in the day before)
    "Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe

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    Quote Originally Posted by gilesfan View Post
    Just go down and enjoy it. Worst case you get stuck down there for a couple days and you just get drunk and party. Whats the downside? Being stranded?

    Unless it's evacuated; which has happened to me. (but I go some great surf in the day before)
    If only I knew how to surf

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    Quote Originally Posted by sturg33 View Post
    If only I knew how to surf
    Boogie board? Can you swim?
    "Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe

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    thank you weso1!

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    Im in central FL. It needs to stay away from me. Looks that way so far.

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    Quote Originally Posted by weso1 View Post
    Let's hope the BAM Deep or LBAR model is correct.

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    The Bahamas are going to take it on the chin first. Possibly 140 MPH winds there before it turns northward toward the East Coast. Everybody from Charleston to Long Island needs to pay very close attention to this storm. From someone who has seen too many of these storms, they are nothing to play with.
    Chopping With The Braves And Rolling With The Tide

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    Savannah always lucks out and misses these. We got hit by Floyd but it had dropped to tropical by then.
    Forever Fredi


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    Reading some weather message boards, one of the newest forecast models has gone crazy and who knows where this thing is going.
    Chopping With The Braves And Rolling With The Tide

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    Clique Leader weso1's Avatar
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    looks like the one model that had this thing staying offshore was probably right.
    thank you weso1!

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    Still going to unleash a rainstorm from hell in South Carolina. Hope the ND-Clemson game isn't cancelled

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    Quote Originally Posted by weso1 View Post
    looks like the one model that had this thing staying offshore was probably right.
    Yep. Looks like the EURO model had it right.
    Chopping With The Braves And Rolling With The Tide

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