got my base knock today.
got my base knock today.
My streak's at 4!
A couple seasons ago, me and a coworker crunched numbers trying to predict the likelihood of every player in the league getting a hit that day. We looked at platoon splits for pitchers paired with platoon splits for hitters. So if a LHed pitcher had poor platoon numbers against RHed hitters and was facing a RHed hitter that killed LHed pitchers, we took that hitter. If no hitter scored a percentage over 50%, we didn't make a pick that particular day.Originally Posted by sturg33
Example being a LHed pitcher that allowed a .350 BA against a RHed hitter that hits .380 vs LHed pitchers. Each AB the hitter has a 13.3% chance of getting a hit. If he averages 3.8 ABs per game (guys who walk a lot suck in BTS), his "hit probability" is 50.54%.
Highest we got was a streak of 26. Complete waste of time.
Now I just pick 2 hitters who bat in the top 3-4 slots of the lineup with a platoon advantage that day. I still can't crack the mid-20s.
It's all luck, so the key is to get as many chances as possible...always make 2 picks per day.
Last edited by Enscheff; 04-03-2017 at 04:22 PM.
I could probably beat the streak if I played. Too lazy.
Forever Fredi
I am riding FF everyday. he is going to hit in 57 in a row all by himself.
Trout and Altuve yesterday, Trout and Altuve today.
Did the exact same thing.
Forgot to pick yesterday so still at 4. Picked Seager going against Cahill of the Padres and Miguel Cabrera vs James Shields of the white sox for today.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.
Miggy and Dee Gordon.
White Sox/Tigers game postponed. Swapping Miggy out with Parra.
Goldschmidt (5-9 vs Moore) and Gordon (6-14 vs Roark).
Another good choice I considered was Altuve (3-9 vs Paxton), but I read a lot about Paxton making huge improvements this spring. Plus, I already rode the Altuve train 2 days in a row.
Up to 6. Still deciding for today.
I hate Paul Goldschmidt.
Back on the Altuve train for me. And what the hell, Inciarte vs Harvey.
At 5 since Tigers postponed. Felt like if I repicked it would be a loser and I would end up regretting repicking. So today I go with Cabrera against Shields again. I am going to try and not rush things this year. This game has a way of quickly driving me crazy. As a rule I try and stay away from picking Braves, its already frustrating enough to watch a scrub completely shut us down.
"Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.
It’s over."
Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.
NinersSBChamps (04-06-2017)
I like Ender today.. but went with FF.. I am wavering still.. Ender is due to break out.. but FF has to atone for his crap performance last night. FF doesn't have strong numbers against Harvey however.
Went with Miggy and Correa.
Kemp now has a 1.300 OPS. With this added protection, Freeman should be due to go on a hot streak.
You're learning. Keep reading and you'll get there soon
Tigers getting spanked by White Sox. Miggy got pulled earlier and was 0-3. Such a crock.
Anyone at 10 or 12? I am back at 2 after yesterday.
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