Most of the trade discussion has been centering on Teheran and Vizcaino.
But we also have a slew of other assets that could potentially be moved at the deadline. Given his recent success in the rotation, Bud Norris might be the most interesting one. He has a bit of a pedigree having generated WAR in the 1.5-2.5 range during the 2010-2014 period, before having a poor injury-riddled season last year. His performance this year is probably best viewed as a return to his 2010-2014 baseline.
It is not unrealistic to project that he will generate 1.0-1.5 WAR the rest of this year. Pair him up with another asset (such as Jim Johnson) and the overall value bumps up to close to 2 WAR. Assuming we are operating in a seller's market, I don't think it is unrealistic to think that a package of Norris and Johnson or some similar other combination could generate a return with a surplus value in the 2.5-3 WAR range.
So what kind of asset has that kind of value. It would probably not be a player who is on a Top 100 list of all prospects, but someone who gets some consideration for those lists. For a weak farm system, it would be one of their top 3 propsects. For an average farm system it would be a prospect ranked 3-5 within the system. And for a strong system, someone in the 5-10 range.
That kind of return is not as exciting as what Teheran or Vizcaino might bring back. But I hope we hold out for quality rather than a collection of organizational players when we move Norris. And we should try to bump up the quality of the return by combining him with other asset(s).
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