Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
[B]Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP.
Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
[B]Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP.
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
If the Republicans want to survive long-term, a landslide rejection of Trump would be in their best long-term interests. Either way, I think they'll totally splinter off over the next couple of cycles.
I wish there would be a press blackout on reporting or projecting early voting results. Could discourage voting on both sides.
bravesnumberone (11-05-2016), cajunrevenge (11-05-2016), Hawk (11-05-2016), jpx7 (11-05-2016), NinersSBChamps (11-05-2016), Oklahomahawk (11-05-2016)
All it does is give both sides a last chance to spin spin spin. But if Latinos are turning out in full force, I suspect Trump's only chance is an avalanche of working class whites to sweep through the Midwest. He would need Michigan to offset Arizona and Nevada.
Not sure how we cut off projections.
Results already are , I think ????
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
But you really have no idea of knowing how many people will wait till Election Day and what that demographic will look like. So trying to make full out projections are half-baked at this point.
50PoundHead (11-05-2016), jpx7 (11-05-2016), Oklahomahawk (11-05-2016)
I think it's alright to report that early voting is heavy or light and leave it at that. I actually think a lot of voters are voting early because of all the noise about possible aggressive poll-watching, which could lead to poll-watchers from both sides, which could lead to physical confrontations.
My bottom line is the press loves a political horse race and now we have an extra angle through which that horse race that can be reported. They could do this analysis after election day in their post mortems.
Last edited by 50PoundHead; 11-05-2016 at 08:28 AM.
Absolutely agree. To me this sort of thing shows the true media whoredom best. They may tend towards the left or right (depending on which group we're talking about) but ratings and attention have always been their favorite candidate.
This is a question.
Aren't the projections we are seeing based on past performance and voter registration ?
plus
A lot of demographics that assume (backed up again by registration data) people of color and women voting Blue.
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict 18m
18 minutes ago
Bottom line: in diverse states like NV, when more people vote, Democrats win. And tons of ppl are voting - including new Latinos in droves.
Last edited by 57Brave; 11-05-2016 at 08:48 AM.
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
I don't know if that will hold true this year. I suspect there will be a lot of traditional non-voters who have been turned off by politics over the last couple of decades who are energized by Trump. We saw that in Minnesota with Ventura. In response to that, I think the Democrats have re-doubled their registration and GOTV efforts in minority and traditionally Democratic voting blocs.
I still think this thing could go either way depending upon which side does better in those efforts. I still think it's Clinton's to lose, but a lot of swing states have tightened up and a hiccup for her in any one of them could give Trump a fighting chance. The disadvantage for Trump is that his ground game doesn't appear to be that great and organizing parts of his base is like trying to cage smoke.
"cage smoke"
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
Nick Gourevitch @nickgourevitch 37m
37 minutes ago
Recent news on impact of Trump's rhetoric:
1) Hispanics surging in FL/NV
2) Women voting at higher rates vs '12
3) HRC up w/ Jews 73%-18%
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Fox reporting rampant voter fraud but don't cite any instance
just sayin'
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.
AHHHHHHHHH we made a joke ban me from the internet!!!!!
American in 2016
ichael Cohen
@speechboy71
To give you sense of why Nevada early vote matters .. if Clinton wins NV she can lose OH, FL, NC, AZ, IA & NH & still be elected POTUS
The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.