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Thread: John Sickel's Top 200 Prospect List

  1. #21
    It's OVER 5,000! cajunrevenge's Avatar
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    Sickels is my favorite prospect "expert".
    "Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.

    It’s over."


    Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.

  2. #22
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    Most don't have Povse anywhere near that high.

    Whalen is basically a non-prospect.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smootness View Post
    Most don't have Povse anywhere near that high.

    Whalen is basically a non-prospect.
    Are you sure? I was told by several experts on this board that Whalen "just knew how to pitch", by "changing speeds", and "hitting his spots". I was assured he had a good chance to be a solid 3/4 starter because he was so much like Maddux. Folks told me he had a "great sinker" despite me showing the pitchfx data that showed his sinker had below average movement and velocity.

    Are you sure these experts were wrong? They went off "what they saw", by "actually watching the games". How could they be wrong when basing their conclusions on the super accurate eye test?

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    I guess I would measure Whalen on his 360 minor league innings versus his 25ish MLB innings.. but like you say.. keep derping along..

  5. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    I guess I would measure Whalen on his 360 minor league innings versus his 25ish MLB innings.. but like you say.. keep derping along..
    Shall we make a signature bet based around Whalen's future MLB production?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    Shall we make a signature bet based around Whalen's future MLB production?
    I don't have my crystal ball out, but I will listen to what you have to say

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    I don't have my crystal ball out, but I will listen to what you have to say
    According to this scouting guide: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scout...couting-scale/

    A 3/4 starter should be expected to produce 2-3 WAR per season. If he doesn't produce that, I win. We will set the over/under at 2.5 WAR.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    According to this scouting guide: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scout...couting-scale/

    A 3/4 starter should be expected to produce 2-3 WAR per season. If he doesn't produce that, I win. We will set the over/under at 2.5 WAR.
    I don't think he hits a #3.. not this year. I say make it one season at a specific number. I will say he gets 1.6+ WAR this season (which might be more than Jackson gets his whole career).. balls in your court.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    I don't think he hits a #3.. not this year. I say make it one season at a specific number. I will say he gets 1.6+ WAR this season (which might be more than Jackson gets his whole career).. balls in your court.
    Woah, really? I don't think he comes close to that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smootness View Post
    Woah, really? I don't think he comes close to that.
    Would want to put a stipulation on innings pitched. I am not sure he gets many starts this year and may see significant time in AAA because of it. I would want 60+ innings or bet nullified/pushed to next season.. I could also take a wash out contingent.. say he doesn't pitch 60+ innings in the next 2 years, he is a bust and I lose.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    Would want to put a stipulation on innings pitched. I am not sure he gets many starts this year and may see significant time in AAA because of it. I would want 60+ innings or bet nullified/pushed to next season.. I could also take a wash out contingent.. say he doesn't pitch 60+ innings in the next 2 years, he is a bust and I lose.
    You think he could get 1.6 WAR in 60-70 innings?!

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    Would want to put a stipulation on innings pitched. I am not sure he gets many starts this year and may see significant time in AAA because of it. I would want 60+ innings or bet nullified/pushed to next season.. I could also take a wash out contingent.. say he doesn't pitch 60+ innings in the next 2 years, he is a bust and I lose.
    My plan for giving all you guys signatures requires more immediacy than 2 years.

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    Whalen is not that good. I would set the minimum at 120 innings and make it three years. Even then, I dunno if he would get more than 3 WAR cumulatively.

    I would rather bet on Jackson doing poorly if I were aiming to bet on the same point.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smootness View Post
    You think he could get 1.6 WAR in 60-70 innings?!
    No not really. He needs to start to have a shot at my number, but it is a bet and not really that big of a deal. I would hope if he hits 60, then he was effective enough to grab a few spot starts and end the season around 110+ innings. I threw 60 out just as an arbitrary number.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    My plan for giving all you guys signatures requires more immediacy than 2 years.
    I said one year, but I have to have a fail safe. Dude is still a prospect.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    Would want to put a stipulation on innings pitched. I am not sure he gets many starts this year and may see significant time in AAA because of it. I would want 60+ innings or bet nullified/pushed to next season.. I could also take a wash out contingent.. say he doesn't pitch 60+ innings in the next 2 years, he is a bust and I lose.
    And I feel I should point out...

    You are now so low on Whalen after being called out, you are claiming he may not even pitch 60 innings at the MLB level.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bravesfanMatt View Post
    I said one year, but I have to have a fail safe. Dude is still a prospect.
    And no, I'm not making a bet that will take 2 years to resolve. You haven't even been on the board 2 years.

    Either have enough balls to state a definitive opinion about Whalen, or shut up about him when we talk about him.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    And I feel I should point out...

    You are now so low on Whalen after being called out, you are claiming he may not even pitch 60 innings at the MLB level.
    I said I liked Whalen based on him minor league numbers, not his major league numbers. I don't think they will make him a starter this year out of the gate. I think he starts in AAA.. He might be a pen guy depending. I never once said he was a #3 starter. I think he is a capable #5 starter at some point. <-- my point is that I like Whalen and Povse potential (whatever you want to set that at) over what Jackson has. I think it was an over pay for a shot in the dark.. I would love to be wrong.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Enscheff View Post
    And no, I'm not making a bet that will take 2 years to resolve. You haven't even been on the board 2 years.

    Either have enough balls to state a definitive opinion about Whalen, or shut up about him when we talk about him.
    So I should just take 2.5 for one season and just hope he pitches enough to get that.

    And I also, never said that it needs to take 2 years. I said I wanted a pitch fail safe that would either nullify OR push.. man this really didn't need to be this difficult. like dealing with a kid..

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    If Whalen gets much more than 1 WAR in any season, I'll be pretty dang surprised.

    I think Povse's best bet is as a 7th or 8th inning RP, but I'm not sure he gets there.

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