Of all the Braves I am wondering about this incoming season, my eyes are on Matt Kemp.
In shape - possibly 40 120 .280? 25 steals?
I know a lot of people hate him for defense but if he is in shape and put up those numbers, would you still get rid of him?
If he suck before deadline, get rid of him is my opinion, but if he is on pace as above, I would keep him.
Freshmaker (02-22-2017), JohnAdcox (02-22-2017)
Originally Posted by AerchAngel
I would be shocked if he had 5 steals. But I could see a .280/35/110 type season. but just as easily, he could be .255/25/75 season.
AerchAngel (02-22-2017), jpx7 (03-15-2017)
I mean, if he put up those numbers, you can't really go wrong. There would be a big market for him while he'd obviously be a big help to our team.
But what chance is there of him putting up those numbers? He's not getting 25 steals, that's just not happening. And .280 with 40 HR would put him pretty close to the best offensive year of his career that he put up when he was 26 and hasn't come close to since.
LA is not the easiest place to hit homers, just like San Diego. Even our old park (hurts to say that) was huge and he did well. I heard our new park is relatively hitter friendly so that is why I posted this.
275/350/580 85 XBH
JohnAdcox (02-22-2017)
He's key to me too.
I'm not a Matt Kemp believer. That said so far he's performed in ATL. By all accounts he put in the work in the off season. He's working extra now. He's a Brave so I'm rooting for him.
I think to feel good about him at this salary he's got to OPS at least 850 and not be terrible on D. I'm not even saying avg I'm just saying not a disaster.
I think he's got to really rake for him to be a positive for us at his salary and a potential trade chip. He'd probably have to be a 900 OPS and I don't think that is going to happen.
If I had to guess I'd have him in the 800-830 range with bad D. Probably an asset to the team but way overpaid.
85 XBH?? good grief.. 40 hrs.. 45 doubles??
I view myself as a relative optimist about Kemp...1.5-2.5 WAR, which would be his best season since 2012
50PoundHead (02-22-2017), AerchAngel (02-22-2017), jpx7 (02-22-2017)
Pride
That is what he is playing for and to me is the biggest thing in the game.
Gerald Laird played for more pride than any Brave.
You're forgetting all the triples.
Managuarantano's Volunteers (02-22-2017)
Unfortuanately, I think this is his actual prediction. Barry Bonds Lite.
"Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe
jpx7 (02-22-2017)
Do people actually believe that players step into the box and not try to get a hit? Or try harder at times?
"Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe
Just Heyward. Dude hates baseball.
JohnAdcox (02-22-2017), jpx7 (02-22-2017), Managuarantano's Volunteers (02-22-2017)
You don't think that physical conditioning helps player performance?
Natural Immunity Croc
Not as much as motivation and pride
It can be positive or negative, but probably has far less of an effect than people think.
"Yes, I did think Aldrich was good UNTIL I SAW HIM PLAY. "- thethe
As far as in-game motivation for players, I see that as very minimal when you compare the most-focused player in the league to the least-focused player. The much more significant difference would be in motivation to work on ones craft the rest of the time (staying in good physical and mental condition, extra work in the offseason, arriving at sprint training before your required reporting date, maximizing work with instructors during spring training, coming to the park early to work during the season, staying after the game during the season to work on something, etc.). It's no secret that the latter has been a concern for Kemp at many points during his career . . . some would argue for most of his career.
I go all the way!
Motivation is a he'll of a thing and not something that can be captured by any statistical model. Could amount to absolutely nothing. We will see.
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