Dansby Swanson and Sample Sizes

[mfree80]

I have to give him (and the entire FO), the benefit of the doubt that the entire rebuild would have been handled differently if not for the new park opening.

Hopefully they are able to rebuild effectively despite not optimizing their resources 100% efficiently. They need to get lucky on a few pitchers (which hasn't even remotely happened yet) in order to cover up those inefficiencies.

Wow! That might be the most positive/complimentary thing you have said

[bravesfanMatt]

Wow! That might be the most positive/complimentary thing you have said

it is the TheThe effect. his hypnotic optimism will break down even the strongest walls eventually.... that or he got laid.

[thewupk]

Swanson is +2 now in DRS. It's early but it's good it seems his offensive struggles aren't really effecting him on defense. The .175 BABIP is clearly going to go up so I really don't think he's doing as bad as his stat lien suggests. Would like to see him be a little more patient at the plate. I think moving him down in the order some could help him not press as much.

[thewupk]

Saw an article on Tomahawk Take today about Swanson and it seems it's what he needs to figure out to become a better hitter. He can't hit the slider and people know it. Of players with at least 200 PA's since the start of 2016 Swanson is #1 in baseball with seeing the slider 26.7% of the time and he's being abused by it pretty often. The book is definitely out.

[Enscheff]

Saw an article on Tomahawk Take today about Swanson and it seems it's what he needs to figure out to become a better hitter. He can't hit the slider and people know it. Of players with at least 200 PA's since the start of 2016 Swanson is #1 in baseball with seeing the slider 26.7% of the time and he's being abused by it pretty often. The book is definitely out.

It's a good thing he didn't get to see more sliders in AAA. Imagine what the attendance would have been Monday night without him! Under 20k?

[nsacpi]

Swanson's AA wOBA was .334. Applying a 15% haircut to that yields a .285 wOBA. Which happens to be his career number in 204 major league plate appearances. It should be clear by now that neither his hot streak of late 2016 nor his slump starting 2017 represents his true level. But his combined major league numbers are probably a fairly good approximation of what we should expect from him going forward in 2017.

His career major league OPS is .676. Seems about right. I will be rooting for a .69999 out of him the rest of the way out.

[bravesfanMatt]

Swanson's AA wOBA was .334. Applying a 15% haircut to that yields a .285 wOBA. Which happens to be his career number in 204 major league plate appearances. It should be clear by now that neither his hot streak of late 2016 nor his slump starting 2017 represents his true level. But his combined major league numbers are probably a fairly good approximation of what we should expect from him going forward in 2017.

His career major league OPS is .676. Seems about right. I will be rooting for a .69999 out of him the rest of the way out.

Dansby will never get a 15% haircut... NEVER!!!!

[nsacpi]

Dansby will never get a 15% haircut... NEVER!!!!

I think if he shaved it he would bust out of the slump. The question is will he. Snit needs to exert some leadership here. And Flowers too. And not just through the power of example.