I thin runs will be a problem. When you objectively look at our lineup you will see 5 guys over performing and that would be 6 if you count Kemp. Jace has been about what you would expect in his place. And you have Dansby and Garica under performing. These do things happen throughout the season but I don't think we should expect the lineup to be as good as it has been throughout the entire season.
Way too early to judge offense but it is good to see us scoring runs while Kemp is on the bench. Jace has offered basically nothing (and I would argue worse than nothing as he has 12 LOB in 5 games) as his replacement, so when Kemp comes back, we should see a tick up from now.
Jace has absolutely sucked as a replacement for Kemp. In 5 games as a starter he has a total of 4 hits and 12 LOB. In his 1 PH opportunity he had 1 LOB.Originally Posted by thewupk
He plays a decent LF but he is no Ender.
If you want to dig deeper...he had 1 good game where he went 2/4 with an RBI, but he still had 4 LOB that game.
Last edited by bravesguy; 04-17-2017 at 09:21 AM.
Jace may be about what you expect from him, but he's nothing close to what you would expect from Kemp. Kemp killed it for 4 games, but just played in the 4 games, so you can't count LF as over-performing.
Flowers is over-performing. Phillips and Markakis are over-performing, but not by an insane amount. Inciarte is really not over-performing by much; HR up but BA and OBP down so far. And I wouldn't say Freeman is really over-performing at all. This is basically what he is now as a hitter.
Dansby and Garcia are both under-performing by a ton. So overall I really don't think our lineup over-performing. But we've also only scored 45 runs in 11 games, so I don't think that means we have a good offense.
Well yeah. Jace is not a good hitter. I was saying what Jace has done this year is about what you would expect Jace to do...which is suck.
As long as we not face the metz top 3 we will be good. The offense is going real well right now and will only get better with another big bat.
Markakis 147 OPS+, last 3 years 104
Phillips 137 OPS+, last 3 years 94
Ender 113 OPS+, last 2 years 99
Freeman 195 OPS+ last 4 years 145
Even if you want to say that last year is the new Freeman(which I would tend to agree with) he still had a 157 OPS+.
All of these guys are over performing. I would say that Ender is the only one you could expect to sustain and that's if you feel he's starting to hit for more power (which 2 weeks in is still way to early to tell).
Braves team WRC+ is like 5th best in the NL. The offense to date has been good.
Last edited by thewupk; 04-17-2017 at 09:39 AM.
The offense since August of last year has been good. When is a thing a thing?
Isn't OPS+ for the Braves going to be at least a little flawed right now because of how little data we have on SunTrust?
And I think our wRC+ will come down. But while we're 5th there, we're 10 in the NL in RS/game. So in terms of pure runs scored, I don't really expect it to go down much, if at all.
a year
when it fits a narrative.
It could be for sure. I do fully expect SunTrust to be a hitters park just like Fulton County Stadium was instead of the pitchers park that Turner Field was. If we are 10th in runs per game then yeah I think that's where we settle in at. The Braves will be a bottom 3rd of the league offense imo.
Do you expect the hitters that have started off hot this year to continue that way? I mean if you want to go full thethe then that's your prerogative but I try to take the homer glasses off when talking about what I think is going to happen and not what I want to happen. .
Yeah...three games against stud pitchers was enough to proclaim the offense bad.
Well only team WRC+ says the team is good on offense. Actual runs scored has the team as being poor. I think we have to go off of actual runs scored and not WRC+ which is just hypothetical.
Alternatively you could say 'offense will be just fine if we keep playing San Deigo.'
I think its probably going to be a middle of the pack offense, probably a little above average if we can get a healthy season out of Phillips and Kemp.
I agree. Our runs scored are depressed because our second best run producer is hurt. That'll change soon.
I think above average is a good spot. Coupled with better starting pitching and that's a 500 team.
So you would say our offense to date has been below average and not good?
lol, no
unfortunately i couldn't help the young man out on his plan to do lines and watch baseball.
i should have sent him to Ron
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