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Thread: Swanson

  1. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by DirkPiggler View Post
    I don't remember anyone specifically, but there was a lot of talk about Bregman being a potential big power guy based on the numbers he put up in the minors.

    You probably saw him play in college as much as I did. I agree with your assessment of his power potential.
    I watched bregman all through college and was shocked at his hr total last year

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    In his good months, he ops'd at .878 (sept '16) and .852 (current). In each of those months, he K'd over 25%. If he can ops at .800 and walks around 10%, that would be perfectly fine even with the Ks, wouldn't it? I'm assuming he cleans up the sloppy defense
    I think it would be good enough for him to be a major leaguer, though perhaps not a particularly special one.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Southcack77 View Post
    I think it would be good enough for him to be a major leaguer, though perhaps not a particularly special one.
    An .800 OPS at SS would be top 10 in the league, and right in the mix for top 5. You add decent defense to that equation and we're talking about one of the better players in the game.

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    Quote Originally Posted by mqt View Post
    An .800 OPS at SS would be top 10 in the league, and right in the mix for top 5. You add decent defense to that equation and we're talking about one of the better players in the game.
    Plus his speed

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    I watched bregman all through college and was shocked at his hr total last year
    Power has more to do than just homerun total. With that being said his ISO right now is hovering around .100. I would expect that to be closer to .200.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Power has more to do than just homerun total. With that being said his ISO right now is hovering around .100. I would expect that to be closer to .200.
    ISO in college...
    Freshman = .177
    Soph = .139
    Junior = .212

    http://www.thebaseballcube.com/playe...P=alex-bregman

    Swanson was .288 junior year at vandy

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    Quote Originally Posted by mqt View Post
    An .800 OPS at SS would be top 10 in the league, and right in the mix for top 5. You add decent defense to that equation and we're talking about one of the better players in the game.
    I wouldn't go that far but an 800 OPS SS with above average defense is a 4-5 WAR player. Definitely all-star worthy and something I think Swanson can reach. I think he settles into the 3+ WAR range though.

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    ISO in college...
    Freshman = .177
    Soph = .139
    Junior = .212

    http://www.thebaseballcube.com/playe...P=alex-bregman

    Swanson was .288 junior year at vandy
    Cool. I think Dansby will be in that range too. An ISO around 200 is above average power. I don't think its unrealistic to expect that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    I wouldn't go that far but an 800 OPS SS with above average defense is a 4-5 WAR player. Definitely all-star worthy and something I think Swanson can reach. I think he settles into the 3+ WAR range though.
    so far he is .8 WAR in a little over 300 PAs in his major league career, with a 24.5% strikeout rate

    I'm optimistic he can bring the strikeout rate down to about 20% over the next season or two, which would allow him to be a 2-3 WAR player.

    If he brings it down to 15% (which could happen but I think has less than a 50% chance of happening), then yeah he could be a 4+ win player

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    so far he is .8 WAR in a little over 300 PAs in his major league career, with a 24.5% strikeout rate

    I'm optimistic he can bring the strikeout rate down to about 20% over the next season or two, which would allow him to be a 2-3 WAR player.

    If he brings it down to 15% (which could happen but I think has less than a 50% chance of happening), then yeah he could be a 4+ win player
    That sounds about right to me. Either way I think odds are very good he is a productive player for the Braves.

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    Swanson will end up being just below a star level player. However you want to quantify that that is what he will be.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    I wouldn't go that far but an 800 OPS SS with above average defense is a 4-5 WAR player. Definitely all-star worthy and something I think Swanson can reach. I think he settles into the 3+ WAR range though.
    I mean, I'd certainly argue that an All Star is one of the better players in baseball. I agree with you, though.

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    Swanson is raking lately

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    Quote Originally Posted by zbhargrove View Post
    Swanson is raking lately
    Can he weed too. If so please send him my way.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    Cool. I think Dansby will be in that range too. An ISO around 200 is above average power. I don't think its unrealistic to expect that.
    What was the starting date of our Swanson bet?

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    What was the starting date of our Swanson bet?
    You'll have to remind me what it was about.

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    What was the starting date of our Swanson bet?
    Mid April.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thewupk View Post
    You'll have to remind me what it was about.
    Ops, but it was with nsacpi. Sorry...

    http://www.chopcountry.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6660&highlight=Swanson

    It was April 16th. Right now, Swanson is at .675. I like my chances of him finishing above .700
    Last edited by msstate7; 05-22-2017 at 06:04 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by msstate7 View Post
    Ops, but it was with nsacpi. Sorry...

    http://www.chopcountry.com/forums/sh...hlight=Swanson

    It was April 16th. Right now, Swanson is at .675. I like my chances of him finishing above .700
    which SEC team do you hate the most

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    Quote Originally Posted by nsacpi View Post
    which SEC team do you hate the most
    You serous? Ole miss for sure

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