SATURDAY MINORS THREAD 5/13: More Moves Soon

[thewupk]

You are absolutely right in everything except your alarm at his current K rates. Even in his original 250 PAs in AAA last year he didn't have a K problem (15%).

This is the only year in professional baseball that Albies hasn't been a teenager. He has relied on a plus hit tool for all of his past success against inferior competition. He hasn't had to have a plan at the plate yet.

He is finally being challenged in AAA, and now is when he will make his first set of adjustments. Hopefully (probably) those adjustments will include adopting a better approach, which will lead to more walks.

Albies should get 500+ PAs in AAA this year to make those adjustments. If he is still struggling in August we can start to worry a little.

The only alarm I had was pointing out that Albies has a K rate just as bad as TD right now. I do think Albies will be fine but his start this year is a little disheartening.

[bravesfanMatt]

The only alarm I had was pointing out that Albies has a K rate just as bad as TD right now. I do think Albies will be fine but his start this year is a little disheartening.

Look, no sense in arguing with a posi-brave.. just quit now while you have your sanity.

[Enscheff]

Turns out posi-Braves are really just fickle-Braves.

[smootness]

The only alarm I had was pointing out that Albies has a K rate just as bad as TD right now. I do think Albies will be fine but his start this year is a little disheartening.

But saying it's 'just as bad as TD' is a little misleading. TD's K rates have been really bad before this year; now it is simply not great. So Albies' K rate is not great, it's not really bad as such a comparison would suggest.

A K rate a little over 20% at age 20 is certainly not something that can't be overcome. There's little reason to take the first month of this season and give that a greater level of relevance than his entire history to this point.

In the same way, we should not look at TD and think he has suddenly solved all his problems. They are both interesting things to note but only that at this point.

[thewupk]

But saying it's 'just as bad as TD' is a little misleading. TD's K rates have been really bad before this year; now it is simply not great. So Albies' K rate is not great, it's not really bad as such a comparison would suggest.

A K rate a little over 20% at age 20 is certainly not something that can't be overcome. There's little reason to take the first month of this season and give that a greater level of relevance than his entire history to this point.

In the same way, we should not look at TD and think he has suddenly solved all his problems. They are both interesting things to note but only that at this point.

You are right that it has been a career long problem for TD and something that's only come up for Albies. The point is that a K rate like that for Albies is a career killer. He does not have the ability to overcome that.

[Russ2dollas]

The only alarm I had was pointing out that Albies has a K rate just as bad as TD right now. I do think Albies will be fine but his start this year is a little disheartening.

yea. but Albies has a track record of hitting and TD has a track record of lots of Ks. Plus albies is coming off an injury

[smootness]

You are right that it has been a career long problem for TD and something that's only come up for Albies. The point is that a K rate like that for Albies is a career killer. He does not have the ability to overcome that.

My point is that it is something that can be lowered for a guy with his talent, and for his age/level, etc., not that he can have a lot of success if he maintains a K rate that high. It's just not something worth even discussing much at this point beyond 'Hmm, that's something to watch.'

[zbhargrove]

I'm in no way saying TD is a better prospect than Albies. Its still not close. I'm just the tiniest little bit of concerned for the first time ever in his career thus far. And that TD has impressed me since coming over and that I would trade Albies and Newcomb if we got a significant MLB ready difference maker at a vital position. Is that out there? Who knows? But I'd think about it.