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Thread: The 2018 Midterms

  1. #161
    It's OVER 5,000! 57Brave's Avatar
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    interested - we might have a conversation around this

    .................................................. .................................................. ......



    Matthew Yglesias
    ‏Verified account @mattyglesias


    Your theory of why Obama’s party lost seats downballot during his run
    in the White House should account for the fact that the same thing happened
    under Eisenhower, Kennedy/Johnson, Nixon/Ford, Reagan/Bush, Clinton, and W Bush.



    Matthew Yglesias


    Perhaps each incumbent party spontaneously adopted a failed business model that their charismatic leader was unable to surmount.

    Or perhaps maybe it’s structural.

    But either way, it deserves an explicit theory.
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

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  3. #162
    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    Speaker Ryan


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  5. #163
    Expects Yuge Games nsacpi's Avatar
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    Polling in the Tennessee Senate rate ominous for GOP.
    "I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."

    "I am your retribution."

  6. #164
    It's OVER 5,000! 57Brave's Avatar
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    Kyle Griffin
    ‏Verified account @kylegriffin1
    1h1 hour ago

    Beto O’Rourke is within the margin of error of Ted Cruz in the Texas senate race.

    Cruz 47
    O’Rourke 44

    MOE +/-3.6%
    @QuinnipiacPoll


    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

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    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    Still don't think they can win this, but amazing to be running this close.

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  10. #166
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    Independent vote is key here. Cruz running as a Republican really damaged his Washington “outsider” cred it would appear.

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  12. #167
    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    The hilarity of an Irish-American with a Spanish nickname runnng against a Cuban-American with an Anglo nickname is just too much.

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  14. #168
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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    The hilarity of an Irish-American with a Spanish nickname runnng against a Cuban-American with an Anglo nickname is just too much.
    in Tejas at that.

  15. #169
    It's OVER 5,000! cajunrevenge's Avatar
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    Democrats must be getting desperate. Real ****ing bold when you don't have any real power. Going to place the odds on this being forgotten about when the democrats take control of Congress at 100%. Still feels like we are moving forward when we have Boehner and Schumer coming out for legalization. This wouldn't be happening if Hillary was president
    "Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.

    It’s over."


    Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.

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    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    Nah, this is pretty much inevitable, albeit moving slower than I expected. It should be low-hanging fruit with Sessions, et al as a counterpoint, though.

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  18. #171
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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    Nah, this is pretty much inevitable, albeit moving slower than I expected. It should be low-hanging fruit with Sessions, et al as a counterpoint, though.

    Inevitable yes but the timing is very suspect. The general consensus is that this is just a PR stunt to gain votes and they wont follow through if they take back Congress. I do think there is a legitimate chance Trump will veto a bill like this because I think Sessions has dirt on Trump.
    "Donald Trump will serve a second term as president of the United States.

    It’s over."


    Little Thethe Nov 19, 2020.

  19. #172
    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    It would be a waste of a political opportunity if they got the numbers and didn't press the issue. That said, they're not exactly the deftest bunch.

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  21. #173
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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    It would be a waste of a political opportunity if they got the numbers and didn't press the issue. That said, they're not exactly the deftest bunch.
    Should be a no brainer.

    I wonder how many gun rights voters are also weed lovers.
    FFF - BB, BB, 2B, HR, 2B, HR, 1B, BB, BB, 1B, BB, BB, HR

  22. #174
    It's OVER 5,000! 57Brave's Avatar
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    G. Elliott Morris
    ��
    ��*♂️
    ‏ @gelliottmorris
    2m2 minutes ago

    Wow, this is unexpected. In NY #AD102 HD102,

    the Democratic candidate is up 3 points with 63% of votes reporting.

    This is an R-held seat that Trump won by 23 points.
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

  23. #175
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    Perhaps the (R) candidate didn't explain the virtues of the Trump tax bill.
    Or maybe they did and the voters are either too "dumb" to get it
    or
    they recognize bull sheit when they see it

    23 point win --
    " like a ghost --- pfff it's gone"
    - Keyser Souza
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

  24. #176
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    or maybe the piss poor candidate didn't convincingly articulate deregulation at EPA

    I don't know?

    or the effectiveness of having 2 Sec's of State and 3 NSA Directors in a year and a half
    C'mon boys, pony up and help me

    nah, they are just too "dumb"
    to know what tikiboi's know
    ............

    free stuff --- that's what it was ---- free stuff
    Last edited by 57Brave; 04-24-2018 at 10:06 PM.
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

  25. #177
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    Dave Wasserman
    ‏Verified account @Redistrict

    Breaking: Lesko leads 53%-47% in early ballots. #AZ08
    ...........


    Tom Bonier
    ‏Verified account @tbonier
    8m8 minutes ago

    With the early votes tallied, Lesko (R) leads by 6%. I think it's likely Lesko wins, as there aren't many election day votes to count and they tend to not diverge much from the early vote. Keep in mind, Trump won this district by 21%.



    Keep in mind, the GOP vote share among early voters exceeded the Dem vote share by 20%, yet Lesko carried the early vote by just under 6%. This isn't just a Dem surge, you are seeing GOP voters crossing over in droves. Likely not enough to win this Trump +21% CD though.
    Last edited by 57Brave; 04-24-2018 at 10:10 PM.
    The best way to stop a bad guy with a gun is to make sure he doesn’t get a gun.

  26. #178
    Very Flirtatious, but Doubts What Love Is. jpx7's Avatar
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    AZ-08 comprises the oldest and golf-coursiest section of the Phoenix metro, fwiw.

    To wit: I once stopped at a Fry's in Surprise (which is immediately adjacent to Sun City) at around 7:15am to buy gas and jugs of water, before heading out to Havasu City / the Mojave, and that **** was legit full; it was only a bit later, about ten minutes up Route 60, that I realized it was the first Wednesday of the month (10% discount day for 55+).
    Last edited by jpx7; 04-24-2018 at 11:44 PM.
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

  27. #179
    Very Flirtatious, but Doubts What Love Is. jpx7's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Julio3000 View Post
    The hilarity of an Irish-American with a Spanish nickname runnng against a Cuban-American with an Anglo nickname is just too much.
    Flashes of Bernardo O'Higgins battling Ramón "Guy" Freire for the directorship of Chile.
    "For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."

  28. #180
    A Chip Off the Old Rock Julio3000's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpx7 View Post
    Flashes of Bernardo O'Higgins battling Ramón "Guy" Freire for the directorship of Chile.
    Few people ever needed a nom de guerre more than Bernardo O'Higgins.

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