I don't think he'll hit 20 home runs his first season.
I don't think he'll hit 20 home runs his first season.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
Runnin (03-04-2018)
I didn't guarantee that Acuna would hit 20 home runs but it's possible unless you think it's going to be much longer than thought before he gets called up. Unless it's mid June or July before he's up, it's not asking for a lot to see 18-20 from him.
Aggression with prospects is fine, but being stupid is not. There should be a way to find a happy medium between a Pirates like idea of being overly cautious with prospects and going stupidly fast with prospects.
It is more likely he hits 20 HR than gets 20 SBs, but 20/20 isn’t an outlandish prediction.
Bryce Harper had 13 HRs his rookie year in 395 PA. Slash line of .273/.344/.423. I'd be happy with something similar from Acuna.
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
nsacpi (03-04-2018)
I take the under on .825 OPS for Acuna...who wants the over
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
nsacpi (03-04-2018)
With the juiced ball, 20 homers isn't that outlandish if you assume he's up within the first month. And honestly keeping him down any longer than after we gain that year of service time doesn't make much sense. Slugging as a whole is getting back to steroid level production so people are once again are going to have to adjust their perception of raw stats. Homerun totals have already blown past it as 2017 saw 400 more homers than any other year previously.
And he would have been right to do that. Anyone predicting Trout level success for a rookie is going to be wrong 99.99% of the time. And lets not forget that Trout did have 135 at bats the year before his official rookie season where he was less than impressive. .220/.281/.390 isn't what you think of when you think of Trout, but that is exactly what he did over his first 135 at bats. Can you imagine the meltdown on this board if that was Acuna's stat line by midseason?
jpx7 (03-05-2018)
I actually think that Acuna will pass 20 home runs fairly comfortably this year if he gets called up after just a couple of weeks. I do see him struggling with his K% though. If I had to guess what his numbers would be it would be something along the lines of .260/.330/.450 with 25 homers. Thats kinda like a Kyle Seagerish type of year so that would be an incredible outcome for a rookie, but I do think that Acuna has the talent to pull off somewhere close to those numbers.
Well, 99.99% of the time you're not dealing with the consensus top prospect like Ronald.
I know athletes. Baseball is a game that is increasingly becoming filled with non-athletic guys and that makes it easier for the true athletes to excel.
Darryl Strawberry hit 26 HR and swiped 21 bags as a 21-year-old rookie in his ROY season for the Mets. Hit only .257. 122 games.
It's not as outlandish as you guys are saying it is to extrapolate that to 30/30.
I'm a fan of Acuna's potential but comparing a guy to Trout just because of stats is absurd, then saying he's going to hit .300 (not sure that this was said here but it was said by Grey on a fantasy baseball site) or will go 30/30 is also ridiculous.
Look, he's likely to be on the upper echelon of 20 year olds in MLB, just unsure he'll be near the top for the modern day. I think his OPS is in the .770-800 range when he comes. He does have .300, .900+ potential but I do not see that coming in 2018.
Aggression with prospects is fine, but being stupid is not. There should be a way to find a happy medium between a Pirates like idea of being overly cautious with prospects and going stupidly fast with prospects.
And I am definitely not a pozzy.
I think we suck outside of Freeman, Gohara, and Ozzie. Maybe Soroka and Wright one day.
Lol.
Acunas are special. Braves may never see another talent like this in my lifetime.
Bellinger went for 39/10 as a rookie
Judge went for 52/9 as a rookie
You guys think 20/20 is outlandish for a prospect that is considered better than them coming out of the minors?
Well, it's not just stats. I've seen him play. I've heard the sound of the bat. I've watched his swing.
I was also the one on here who said he was carrying some baby fat last year. That appears to be gone now to my eye.
Just a beast of a prospect.
I did call Judge's success last year, also. Keith Law said he thought he'd hit 41 when I said he'd break the rookie record. That's after watching 1 game at Yankee Stadium.
Some dudes just got it.
Tapate50 (03-04-2018)
The safe thing is to say that acuna won't hit those thresholds. But man, what fun is that?
Some of you guys should just embrace fandom.
Tapate50 (03-04-2018)