There are few scenarios where I would do it...

[nsacpi]

Actually, I think I've been pretty fair.

I'm not projecting any of the pitchers to become annual Cy young candidates, but where have you seen any hint that we should? I've said that they mostly look like #3's. A couple have the potential to be better than that but they also have the potential to get hurt or bust completely. I have Acuna as an annual 4 WAR guy. Maybe he's better than that but he's done nothing at the ML level yet. I have Albies as an annual 4 WAR guy. Again maybe better (hopefully). I have Swanson as a 2 WAR guy. I may be a bit too optimistic on him. I also have Freeman slowly age declining. In the original post I had him as a 6/5/5/4 WAR guy for the rest of his current control with the Braves. Considering his career WAR profile (he's only surpassed 6 once and 4 twice, I don't see that as unreasonable.

I actually think Pache will be a good replacement for Inciarte in about 3 years and the Braves will get useful help from most of their high end pitchers.

But I'm not thethe for sure. He is Mister Brightside, all day, all the time. I think of myself as more Mr. Realistic. If I were Mr. Pessimistic, I would have Freeman missing a third of the season every other year and getting worse as he gets older. I would have Inciarte losing his range until he is a below average LF. I would have Swanson not surviving and Albies hitting a plateau with Acuna developing only into a so-so 3 WAR guy.

I'd say both Gohara and Soroka have given indications they could be more than mid-rotation types. Of course that doesn't make them perennial Cy Young candidates. But there is a broad range between mid-rotation and Cy Young candidates.

I think your Acuna and Albies projections are reasonable. Folks around here need to pump the brakes a little on those two.

[Horsehide Harry]

I'd say both Gohara and Soroka have given indications they could be more than mid-rotation types. Of course that doesn't make them perennial Cy Young candidates. But there is a broad range between mid-rotation and Cy Young candidates.

I agree. But I tried to account in my projections of them the possibility they will get hurt or never make it at all.

There's a non zero chance Gohara becomes a young Sabathia. Also a non zero chance Soroka becomes a Wainwright. But there's probably a bigger non zero chance that they get hurt and at least some chance they stall in their development and never progress further.

My point is if you have to rely on things going right a big enough percentage of the time, then disappointment will follow.