Folty is an extra inning-per-game from being REALLY good. Newcomb is around the same. Both just need to be more economical.
Folty is an extra inning-per-game from being REALLY good. Newcomb is around the same. Both just need to be more economical.
jpx7 (05-16-2018)
jpx7 (05-16-2018)
My only issue with xwOBA is it doesn't account for spray angle (pull vs oppo), nor does it account for batter handedness or speed.
For pitchers that isn't a very big deal. As they turn the lineup over, they tend to face the same mix of guys with different batting/skill profiles. I think xwOBA is the best rate stat available for pitchers. The next rather easy step is to multiply by IP to get a nice shiny new WAR value for pitchers.
For hitters it's a little less amazing, but still very good. Some guys have skills that allow them to consistently outproduce their xwOBA (hitting the ball to all fields, being left handed, being fast), and it shows up for them as "being lucky" when they aren't actually lucky. I'm also starting to think that hitting fly balls to the shorter areas of the field rather than to the huge expanses of CF is a skill that can contribute to guys appearing "lucky" on HRs.
Last edited by Enscheff; 05-16-2018 at 11:27 AM.
"For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."
If Folty knew how to pitch at all he'd be the best pitcher in the league. Unfortunately he only knows how to throw.
Natural Immunity Croc
Doesn't matter. The eye test is all we need.
Ventura's Stolen Bases
Newcomb top 10 in xwOBA among pitchers with over 100 PAs, Folty is top 60.
Both have been really good this year
but srsly
AerchAngel (05-28-2018), Garmel (05-16-2018)