That's only 3 games above .500 the rest of the way. I think we might do better than that.Originally Posted by thewupk
Also: Why can't we play the Mets more?
That's only 3 games above .500 the rest of the way. I think we might do better than that.
Also: Why can't we play the Mets more?
Not a problem, just saying, we have been on the raw end of calls.
USMA76 (06-13-2018)
How does that work when both the Braves and DBacks lead their respective divisions?
Probably because they think the gNats win more than 88 games.
Coppy
They currently have the Braves and Dodgers tied in predicted finish (88-74), but give the Braves a 54% chance of making the playoffs, versus a 56% for Los Angeles. That would be a tie for the second WC, with Milwaukee earning the first outright, and Arizona, Chicago, DC winning their respective divisions.
I can’t remember how the WC tie-breakers work at this point. Would that result in a play-in for the play-in?
"For all his tattooings he was on the whole a clean, comely looking cannibal."
I thought the odds were based on pace and results up to this point.
They correctly assume the Braves are not as good as their current record indicates.
Simply applying the current winning percentage for the rest of season wouldn't be much a projection system...
More than our share in fact. Can't remember all of the specifics but it seems like replay SNAFUS have cost us three or four games--two against Philly for sure.
AerchAngel (06-13-2018)
I'll take DeGrom over Scherzer for CY right now. Though it's close.
jpx7 (06-13-2018)
FTFY
Coppy
Initial projections are factored in. So while the Braves current pace has them at like 90+ wins their projected winning % the rest of the way in this is based on what they have done so far plus what they were initially projected to do. However the longer the Braves play at a good level their rest of the way winning % will go up. Just as the Nats will go down as they continue to play below what they were expected to do.
Somehow I missed that and thought it had the Dodgers taking the division. But yeah at 88 wins both would be tied for the 2nd wild card. There would be a play in game in this scenario for the 2nd wild card. I assume the difference in % is based on the fact that the Dodgers currently lead in the head to head series and I guess that gives them home field advantage for that game.
jpx7 (06-13-2018)
I didn’t realize he was referring to a projection. I thought he was just talking about odds of making the playoffs at this point.
If there is a play in game, you have to factor in "infield Fly Rule" , manager not putting in closer in the 8th innning. But for the latter, I don't who our closer will be so, it might be Winkler/Gohara/Hippo or Viz?
I like our chances.......if at home.
It all comes down to winning inside the division. We keep playing the East as we have, we will win the division.
AerchAngel (06-13-2018)
This.
We are cursed out west.
Attendance for yesterday's Wednesday matinee was 32,105, which actually outdrew a Sunday matchup vs the Mets in the 31rd home game last season.
Combined with a solid 29,000+ on Tuesday, that has allowed the Braves to remain 4% up over last season's gate.
I am now thinking the Braves might end doing better than 5% if they can stay in the race. The weekday gates are up a good bit, I think.
--- Yes Braves are up significantly on weekdays, still lagging slightly behind last season's weekends.
Last edited by Southcack77; 06-14-2018 at 11:03 AM.
our comparable with last should get stronger over the rest of the season...nothing beats winning
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
yup. winning drives attendance. should mean a higher payroll in 2019 if it keeps up.
Harper and Machado are imminent
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