We have an early one today -- let's hope we can grab the win and series! We have Wednesday off and will likely get Albies back on Thursday. I'm hoping we see Culberson find his way into the lineup when Ozzie does return.
#GOBRAVOS!
We have an early one today -- let's hope we can grab the win and series! We have Wednesday off and will likely get Albies back on Thursday. I'm hoping we see Culberson find his way into the lineup when Ozzie does return.
#GOBRAVOS!
Acuna in center and Charlie in leftOriginally Posted by UNCBlue012
UNCBlue012 (07-24-2018)
Who at 2b?
UNCBlue012 (07-24-2018)
That's for when Ozzie comes back
UNCBlue012 (07-24-2018)
Five Thirty Eight currently has the Braves winning 88 games and winning the division. Currently at 61% to make the playoffs.
Fangraphs has us at 40%. lol I love how different these projects all are! I think our biggest asset in making a run for the division crown is our record against NL East opponents. 29-15 is REALLY good.
i'd love to see FG reasoning for having philly above us. because the advanced stats don't really support it IIRC. their starting pitching is strong, but offense isn't good and defense is really bad. FG is also still giving the nats a lot of credit that i'm not sure they deserve.
"Well, you’ll learn soon enough that this was a massive red wave landslide." - thethe on the 2020 election that trump lost bigly
“I can’t fix my life, but I can fix the world.” - sturg
38.9% of the season remaking, and the nats have a losing record
Same lineup as last night except Flowers at catcher and Teheran pitching.
expecting a yuge game from Flowers
"I am a victim, I will tell you. I am a victim."
"I am your retribution."
Schedule. It's not HUGE, but they have an easier schedule than us. Also, I think FG bases a lot on SP.
Pretty sure FiveThirtyEight accounts more for current performance than Fangraphs. Fangraphs likely bases their rest of year projections on the individual rest of year projections via ZIPS. The Braves obviously projected poorly in this area to start so they are still playing catch up so to speak. FiveThirtyEight is a better model imo.
Super (07-24-2018)
yup, i figured maybe FG has pre-season projections factored a lot still.
"Well, you’ll learn soon enough that this was a massive red wave landslide." - thethe on the 2020 election that trump lost bigly
“I can’t fix my life, but I can fix the world.” - sturg
Yeah, I'm pretty sure FG is glacially slow in giving players credit for improvements in their RoS projections. For young teams like the Braves, players can improve rather quickly (as opposed to teams full of 30 year olds).
That's why I took the over on their 84 win projection at the AS break.
It's also very hard to project the Braves because of so many breakout years by young core players - Acuna, Albies, Camargo, Folty, Newcomb. There aren't 3 year performance bases for these guys.
Classic Julio.
Realmuto hits 2 run HR in 1st--w-0 Fish
classic 2017 Julio
it is Realmuto, so it’s hard to really be mad lol
Hitting flowers 8th would be ok
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